Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson didn't have much luck in the Republican presidential race — rarely registering as more than an asterisk in the polls, and failing to qualify for nearly every debate — but he's done better since his December decision to jump over to the Libertarian Party. On Saturday, Johnson won the Libertarians' presidential nomination with 74 percent of the vote at the party's convention in Las Vegas. Now, the pro-gun, pro-gay-marriage Johnson will be making a direct appeal to the independents who will decide the race between President Obama and Mitt Romney. Could he win enough protest votes to tip the election?
Johnson may derail Mitt: "Johnson has almost zero chance of winning the race," says Heath Haussaman at New Mexico Politics, but he might well win enough votes to play the role of spoiler, just as Ralph Nader did in 2000. And this time around, the third-party candidate is bad news for the Republican Romney. Although liberals find Johnson somewhat appealing, he's more likely to siphon away fiscal conservatives in the libertarian wing of the GOP now that he's running as a Libertarian.
"Gary Johnson plays the role of spoiler"
Actually, he'll hurt Obama more than Romney: Johnson has been polling as high as 9 percent nationally, says Michael Ames at The Daily Beast, which is enough to cover most Obama-Romney spreads. If his support holds, or grows, the question "won't be if he alters the November outcome, but how." Johnson "outflanks President Obama from the left" on civil liberties, drug laws, and war, so he might actually put Romney over the top.
"Don't forget Gary Johnson! How the Libertarian could shake up 2012"
Regardless, he'll be refreshing: Johnson hopes to reach 15 percent in the polls, says Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway, which would let him participate in the presidential debates. That's "an incredibly high bar," especially given that no Libertarian candidate has ever collected more than 1 percent on election day. Still, Johnson will be a welcome change for voters "dissatisfied with both candidates on issues like the drug war and same-sex marriage." Really, it will be nice to see someone finally "getting real attention for a campaign of ideas."
"Gary Johnson wins Libertarian Party nomination for president"
THE WEEK'S AUDIOPHILE PODCASTS: LISTEN SMARTER
- After Ferguson: Stop deferring to the cops
- 43 TV shows to watch in 2014
- Ferguson riots were terrible — but this racist reaction was worse
- 10 things you need to know today: November 27, 2014
- Why the poor can't catch a break on Thanksgiving
- The hilarious hypocrisy of Republicans complaining about the imperial presidency
- Obama just kneecapped Jeb Bush and Chris Christie's 2016 prospects
- How to be the most productive person in your office — and still get home by 5:30 p.m.
- In Ferguson, Michael Brown lost his life — and America's police lost the benefit of the doubt
- Don't argue about politics this Thanksgiving. Just don't.
Subscribe to the Week