RSS
Global rate cuts: Are central banks bracing for economic calamity?
Europe and China slash interest rates, and Britain says it will essentially print money — raising fears that the world's top bankers are entering "panic mode"
 
Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, announced that his bank was slashing interest rates from 1 percent to 0.75 percent, the lowest level in the ECB's 14-year history.
Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, announced that his bank was slashing interest rates from 1 percent to 0.75 percent, the lowest level in the ECB's 14-year history.
REUTERS/Alex Domanski

In one wild hour on Thursday, central banks in Europe and China slashed interest rates, hoping to encourage businesses and consumers to borrow — and spend — more. At the same time, the Bank of England renewed an economic stimulus program it had suspended just two months ago. And here in the U.S., it was only two weeks ago that the Federal Reserve announced that it would extend a similar effort. Central bankers insist the moves weren't coordinated. Still, is this flurry of activity a sign that the world's financial leaders are starting to panic in the face of a scary global slowdown? Here, a brief guide:

What exactly did the central banks do?
The European Central Bank and its counterpart in China cut their benchmark lending rates, hoping to get businesses and consumers to spend more by making it cheaper for them to borrow money. The ECB cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter point, to 0.75 percent. That's the lowest rate in its 14-year history. But because European rates are already so low, economists don't expect additional reductions to make much of a difference. China might have more influence. Its rates are relatively high, at 6 percent, so analysts think its 0.31 percentage point cut might help counter a sharp economic slowdown.

How about the Bank of England?
The British central bank can't push interest rates much lower than the current 0.5 percent, so it announced that it would buy up $78 billion worth of government bonds (it already holds $508 billion worth), essentially printing money to pay for it. This move, known as quantitative easing, increases the money supply, giving banks more to lend. Though such monetary policies can inadvertently spark inflation, this measure is meant to encourage more buying, selling, and investing, which is why America's Federal Reserve has been doing similiar things.

Will it work?
That's the big question. Stock markets aren't persuaded, as global stocks eased back Thursday after an initial burst of enthusiasm. And opinions range from somewhat optimistic — "This is helpful at the margins," says one British economist — to downright dismissive — "There's virtually zero chance of that succeeding," Bill Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management, tells CNBC Asia. The task ahead is huge: Europe is mired in a double-dip recession, and its frightening debt crisis is dragging down economies around the world; the U.S. recovery is withering; and long-booming China, which has propped up the global economy for years, is experiencing a sharp slowdown.

Why are all of these central banks acting now?
This is a sign that central bankers are on the job, Charles Dallara of the Institute of International Finance tells CNBC Asia. "The global environment is weakening" and the central bankers are taking positive steps to ease the pain, although they can't "alter fundamentally" the coming storm. The ECB knew it had to do something to avert an immediate meltdown, says Paul Krugman at The New York Times, but the fact that it did the "minimal amount" instead of making it clear a solution is coming only shows it isn't recognizing the gravity of the situation. This is the second time in a month the central planners in Beijing have offered rate relief, says Matt Nesto at Yahoo Finance. That's really, really rare. These extraordinary measures aren't soothing — they're a sign the people sitting in the world's financial control rooms have gone into "panic mode."

Sources: CNBC, Marketwatch, New York Times (2), Yahoo Finance

 

THE WEEK'S AUDIOPHILE PODCASTS: LISTEN SMARTER

Subscribe to the Week