he Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act — as ObamaCare is formally known — makes a pretty explicit promise in its title: Affordable health care. Affordable is a pretty subjective term, but on Wednesday, the Obama administration released some hard figures for the state health insurance exchanges that are set to start enrolling people on Oct. 1. The numbers are generally better than expected.
The health care exchanges will offer four different levels of coverage: Bronze, silver, gold, and platinum, with bronze being the cheapest and least-comprehensive. The federal government is using the silver plans — covering about 70 percent of health care expenses — as its benchmark, and nationally, premiums for those plans are about 16 percent lower than the Congressional Budget Office estimated last year.
That's nice for the federal government, since the news lowers the estimated cost of ObamaCare's subsidies for people earning up to 400 percent of the poverty level (about $94,200 a year for a family of four, or $46,000 for an individual).
How do the lower costs translate for the estimated seven million people who will buy insurance under these new exchanges? Nationally, the average premium will be $328 a month without subsidies. In the states where the feds are running or helping run the exchanges, consumers will have an average of 53 health plans to choose between. While the costs will vary widely, there will still be some real bargains: In Jackson, Miss., a 27-year-old could pay as little as $8 a month for a bronze plan.
So that's the good news, generally speaking. For anyone who has tried to buy insurance on their own, those aren't bad prices, and — assuming they pan out — they sort of undermine the dire warnings of price shock from ObamaCare critics. But this is insurance. Inevitably there's some fine print.
The first big caveat is that prices will vary a lot by where you live. A resident of Brooklyn will pay more than her socioeconomic doppelgänger in Rochester, for example. In some states, like New Hampshire and West Virginia, many areas will have only one insurer offering plans on the exchange.
The second caveat: There's scant information about how much gold and platinum plans will cost. "Want to know what you might pay for health coverage in an exchange next year?" say Politico's Brett Norman and Jason Millman. "Too bad. The report gives lots of examples of the kinds of people who will get good prices — but everyone else will remain in the dark until at least next Tuesday, when ObamaCare is supposed to open its doors."
The third, and potentially biggest, caveat: People enrolled in exchanges may not have a very broad choice of doctors or hospitals to choose between. Your mileage will vary by state and plan, says Robert Pear in The New York Times, but "from California to Illinois to New Hampshire, and in many states in between, insurers are driving down premiums by restricting the number of providers who will treat patients in their new health plans."
And those health care providers will, in many cases, be paid less than what they have been receiving from commercial insurers. Some consumer advocates and health care providers are increasingly concerned. Decades of experience with Medicaid, the program for low-income people, show that having an insurance card does not guarantee access to specialists or other providers....
Many insurers see advantages in narrow networks, saying they can steer patients to less expensive doctors and hospitals that provide high-quality care. Even though insurers will be forbidden to discriminate against people with pre-existing conditions, they could subtly discourage the enrollment of sicker patients by limiting the size of their provider networks. [New York Times]
We'll know more when the exchanges open on Oct. 1 — probably. "Expect trouble," cautions USA Today in an editorial. The health care exchanges "are brand new, and like anything this big, glitches are inevitable. Exchanges intended to be friendly online stores will be less seamless than Expedia or Amazon, at least at first."
Eventually, the exchanges will allow people to buy health insurance. But assuming about half of the 15 million uninsured Americans sign up, that's still a small slice of the health insurance pie. About 157 people — or 55 percent of Americans — are still covered under employer-sponsored health plans, and another 30 percent are covered by Medicare and Medicaid.
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