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September 20, 2017
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A series of opinion polls in the past week have shown President Trump's approval rating ending its summer slide and edging up a few points, following his handling of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma and his nods toward bipartisanship. In Gallup's weekly tracking poll, Trump is up to 38 percent approval, from a low of 35 percent in late August, following his comments on the white supremacist violence in Charlottesville. A new Politico/Morning Consult poll has Trump at 43 percent, after hitting 39 percent last month, and a Marist poll from last week clocked Trump at 39 percent approval, from 35 percent in August.

Different polls have Trump recovering among Republicans and/or independents, but staying essentially unchanged among Democrats. His decision to end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program polls poorly, but he got good marks for his handling of recent natural disasters. Trump's RealClearPolitics average is 40 percent, up 2.5 points from last month. All those numbers are historically low for a first-term president. Peter Weber

August 31, 2017

President Trump hit a new low in a Fox News poll released Wednesday, with 55 percent of voters disapproving of his job performance versus 41 percent who approve. In April, Trump's approval rating was just 3 points underwater, 45 percent to 48 percent. He has lost the most ground among conservatives (-7 points), Republican men (-9 points), and white voters without a college degree (-9 points). Only 35 percent of voters say they are satisfied with how things are going in the U.S., versus 64 percent who are dissatisfied, and by a wide margin, voters say Trump is "tearing the country apart" (56 percent) rather than "drawing the county together" (33 percent).

Trump's best numbers were on handling the economy (49-43 percent) and his worst were on race relations (33-61 percent). A 56 percent majority of voters say they don't think Trump respects racial minorities, only 35 percent approve of his handling of the white nationalist march in Charlottesville, and by a 70-13 percent margin, voters say Trump dislikes the news media more than he dislikes white supremacists. The poll was conducted Aug. 27-29 among 1,006 registered voters, and its margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. Peter Weber

August 18, 2017
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Four in 10 Americans believe that "both sides" were equally responsible for the violence in Charlottesville, Virginia, over the weekend, indicating that President Trump's comments at a combative press conference earlier this week resonated with more of the public than expected. Another 46 percent of Americans believe that far-right groups were most responsible for the violence, the SurveyMonkey poll found, whereas just 9 percent believe counter-protesters are most to blame.

Trump's choice to lay blame on "both sides" was heavily criticized by the media. "He is right that there are two sides: the vestigial tail of the Confederacy and the United States of America; the white supremacists and their targets; the president and the patriots," wrote Fast Company. Former Vice President Joe Biden tweeted, "There is only one side."

The SurveyMonkey poll found the majority of Republicans believe both sides are "equally" responsible for the violence in Charlottesville, while 66 percent of Democrats believe far-right groups get the biggest cut of the blame. Among independents, 51 percent think far-right groups are most responsible, followed by 38 percent who think both sides share the blame. The poll reached 2,181 respondents on Thursday online.

"These findings reflect the fact that, because of the nation's partisan divide and fractured media, we no longer agree on basic facts," writes Axios. "That makes civil debate impossible."

So where did the "both sides" thinking originate? The Week's Ryan Cooper goes back to the Civil War in his investigation, and explores the origins of the phrase "alt-left" here. Jeva Lange

August 17, 2017

President Trump might not be very popular nationwide, but most Republicans believe he is pulling the party in the right direction, a new Quinnipiac University poll has found. While just 39 percent of Americans approve of the job Trump is doing in office right now, Quinnipiac found that 81 percent of Republicans approve of Trump and 82 percent believe he is steering the party in the "right direction."

Quinnipiac's poll ran from August 9-15, reaching 1,361 voters on landlines and cellphones. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.4 percent. Read the full results here. Jeva Lange

August 16, 2017

President Trump has praised Rasmussen Reports for producing "the most accurate" polls, although the latest news from the polling company might not have him so thrilled. As of Tuesday, Rasmussen finds Trump's "strong" approval rating is a mere 26 percent, while 45 percent of people "strongly disapprove" of the job he is doing in office.

Trump's lowest rating on Rasmussen came August 3, when a mere 23 percent of voters strongly approved of him.

Rasmussen also records "total" approval of the president, with Trump at 42 percent approval and 57 percent disapproval Tuesday. This is higher than his marks in the Gallup Daily tracking poll, which recorded a new floor for the president Monday at just 34 percent approval.

The Rasmussen poll surveyed 1,500 likely voters on landlines and through the internet and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percent. The full daily results can be found here. Jeva Lange

August 8, 2017

As President Trump marked his 200th day in office at his golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey, CNN released a poll Monday night to check how Trump is faring at his milestone of his presidency. Not well, according to the nationwide survey, conducted by polling firm SSRS. Only 38 percent of respondents approved of Trump's job performance, including 24 percent who strongly approved, while 56 percent disapproved and 47 percent strongly disapproved. Only 59 percent of Republicans approve of Trump's performance, the poll found, a sharp drop from 73 percent in February.

At 200 days, 59 percent of respondents said they consider Trump's presidency a failure, versus 36 percent who see it as a success, and 62 percent said Trump's actions and statements since inauguration have made them less confident in his presidential abilities. The pollsters asked about a range of issues, and Trump did not get majority approval on any of them; a 48 percent to 47 percent plurality of respondents approved of his handling of national security, and 45 percent approved of his handling of the economy, versus 47 who disapproved, but a majority disapproved of Trump on health care, immigration, foreign affairs, helping the middle class, and taxes.

Only 30 percent of respondents said they admire Trump, 34 percent said they are proud to have him as president, and 55 percent said he has lowered the stature of the presidency. Regarding Trump's Twitter use, 71 percent agreed it's an effective way for him to reach his supporters, but 70 percent said Trump tweets too often in response to TV news, 71 percent said it was a risky way to communicate, and 63 percent said his tweets turn out to be misleading too often. Overall, only 36 percent of respondents found Trump honest and trustworthy, versus 60 percent who say he isn't, and 24 percent said they trust most or all of what they hear in official communications from the Trump White House, versus 30 percent who say they believe none of it. On Monday, CNN's Jake Tapper took a stab at explaining why Trump has problems in his honesty numbers.

SRSS conducted the CNN poll Aug. 3-6, contacting 1,018 adults by landline and cellphone, and the margin of sampling error is ±3.6 percentage points. Peter Weber

August 7, 2017
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The 2018 midterm elections are still 15 months away, and the 2020 general election is even further down the line, but the news is already bad. If you are a Republican, a new poll from Republican pollsters Firehouse Strategies has some sobering news about President Trump's falling support among his base, but Democrats also have some terrible numbers among white voters without a college education in a recent internal poll.

The Firehouse poll looked at likely midterm voters in four key swing states — Florida, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania — and found Trump losing support especially among Republicans, especially when it comes to perceived honesty. "Just 6 months in office, Trump is getting into dangerously low territory in key swing states," Firehouse partner Alex Conant tells Axios. Trump's base of support has shrunk to 28.6 percent who have a "strongly favorable" view of him, including only 44.9 percent of Republicans, versus 35.3 percent of voters in those four states who felt the same in April. If Trump doesn't repeal ObamaCare and overhaul the tax code by the midterms, an increasing number of voters say they won't vote for the GOP incumbent.

"The Trump base is far bigger & stronger than ever before (despite some phony Fake News polling)," Trump tweeted Monday morning, citing rallies he has held in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Iowa, and West Virginia.

The Democratic poll, conducted by the Democrats' House Majority PAC, found that Trump is more popular than congressional Democrats and Republicans with the white working class, and that the GOP has an edge over congressional Democrats on everything but health care. On the economy and job creation, congressional Republicans held a brutal 35-point lead, but also bested Democrats on things like "will fight for people like you," "understands what it is like for regular Americans," and "will reduce the power of special interests in Congress." When House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, and other Democrats "seek to make the case for a 'better deal,' they face an audience primed to disbelieve every word they say," says Thomas Edsall at The New York Times.

Firehouse Strategies and 0ptimus contacted 2,901 voters in the four swing states in automated calls from Aug. 1-3, and their poll has an overall margin of error of ±2.1 percentage points. Expedition Strategies and Normington, Petts, and Associates polled 1,000 white adults without bachelor's degrees from June 27 to July 13, and their poll has a margin of error of ±3.1 points. Peter Weber

August 2, 2017

Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) is among the most respected Republican leaders in Congress and the one-time general election opponent of President Barack Obama, but you wouldn't know it by looking at his favorability numbers. The Arizona senator — who has aggressive brain cancer but still managed to make it to the Hill for a decisive "no" vote on health care last week — records a 74 percent approval rating among Democrats, a new Quinnipiac University poll has found. Republicans, on the other hand, only favor McCain by 39 percent, with 49 percent viewing him unfavorably.

Overall, 57 percent of voters find McCain favorable and 32 percent find him unfavorable. By comparison, just 26 percent of Americans say they are "proud" of President Trump, while 54 percent say they are "embarrassed" of him.

The poll reached 1,125 voters on cell phones and landlines between July 27 and August 1. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.4 percent. Read the full results here. Jeva Lange

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