Americans on both sides of the aisle are worried about meddling in the midterm elections, a new NPR/Marist poll finds, and they're convinced it won't help their party.
Asked which party potential voter fraud would favor in the midterms, 77 percent of Democrats said it would help Republicans, and 67 percent of Republicans said it would favor Democrats. Independents were split, but slightly more (41 to 36 percent, with a 4 percent margin of error throughout the survey) believe the GOP would benefit.
Party affiliation also corresponded with disagreement on what sort of meddling is likely to happen. A majority of Democrats are suspicious of foreign interference from Russia or another country, while Republicans are overwhelmingly concerned with a more domestic threat: voter suppression or illicit voting, especially by immigrants who are not U.S. citizens.
As NPR notes, there's no evidence of foreign manipulation of U.S. ballots (Russian election interference techniques were more indirect). And many of the very few improper votes that are cast each election are accidental, like the Texas woman sentenced to five years in prison for unintentionally violating the law by voting while on probation.
The survey also found a significant split on whether "many votes" will simply not be counted. While most white voters aren't concerned this may happen, a majority of non-white voters think it will.
When asked to compare the performance of male and female politicians on various aspects of holding elected office, most Americans rank them equally. But for those who say one gender performs better than the other, a new survey reported Monday at The Washington Post notes, women increasingly and consistently win the day.
The study polled voters' views on how each gender handles 12 specific policy issues, leadership, representation of their constituents, civility, and ethics. In each case, a majority or plurality ranked men and women equally. But even on traditionally "male" issues, like foreign affairs and gun regulations, more preferred women's approach than men's. Perhaps the most striking disparity was on civility, where 46 percent held the genders are equal, but 45 percent preferred women and only 9 percent preferred men.
"More voters think women would do a better job — on everything — than believe that of men," summarizes Melissa Deckman, a professor of public affairs at Washington College who conducted the poll.
This held true across party lines, though Democrats were more likely to rate women better, and Republicans did give men preference on four issues: gun policy, law enforcement, immigration, and foreign affairs. Women elected to public office in America are nearly three times more likely to be Democrats than Republicans. Read The Week's Gracy Olmstead on how the GOP could shift that balance. Bonnie Kristian
Two in three Americans are ready for Special Counsel Robert Mueller to wind down his probe into Russian election meddling efforts and alleged Trump campaign collusion. In fact, a new CNN poll finds, they'd like him to be finished by the midterms.
While answers vary along predictably partisan lines — fully 72 percent of Republican respondents said they're ready to shut it down — even most Democrats (57 percent) would like the investigation to end before it's time to vote. Mueller has led the inquiry since May 2017.
The same survey found 3 in 10 say Mueller's conclusions will be "extremely important" to their voting decisions. Democrats and those who disapprove of President Trump are more likely than average to want the probe results available to inform their vote. Additionally, 7 in 10 say Trump should testify for Mueller if requested, and 56 percent say they believe the president has already tried to interfere in the investigation. Bonnie Kristian
For the first time in 18 years of Gallup polling on this question, fewer than half of Americans say they are "extremely proud" of their nationality.
From a peak of 70 percent in 2003, the proportion of those who are "extremely proud to be Americans" has steadily declined, plateauing in the final years of the George W. Bush administration and most of former President Obama's tenure and starting to noticeably decline in 2015.
Still, most Americans continue to express some degree of pride in their country. The 47 percent who are "extremely proud" are joined by 25 percent who are "very proud" and 16 percent who are "moderately proud" for an easy proud majority of 88 percent. Just 3 percent say they are not proud at all.
Extreme pride in being American varies considerably along demographic lines: Republicans are more likely to be extremely proud than Democrats, men are more likely than women, white people than minorities, the old than the young, and those who have not graduated from college than those who have. Bonnie Kristian
A majority of Americans oppose the Trump administration's policy of separating migrant children from their families after they enter the U.S. illegally or seek asylum at the border, a new poll conducted by Ipsos for The Daily Beast reveals.
The survey asked respondents whether they agree with this statement: "It is appropriate to separate undocumented immigrant parents from their children when they cross the border in order to discourage others from crossing the border illegally." About 1 in 4 — 27 percent — said they agreed, and 56 percent said the separations are not appropriate.
While Democrats were more likely than average to oppose the policy and independents nearly matched the national average, a plurality of Republicans (46 percent) agreed with the statement, compared to 32 percent who said they do not agree.
This poll was conducted online from June 14 to 15, surveying about 1,000 people. Ipsos calculates a credibility interval, which is similar to a margin of error, of 3.5 percent overall and 6.1 to 7.8 percent for party loyalty subsets. Bonnie Kristian
Most Americans wish President Trump would tweet less, a new Politico/Morning Consult poll published Thursday reports. Some 62 percent deem his Twitter account "a bad thing," and a majority say it hurts his presidency (59 percent), national security (51 percent), and America's reputation in world affairs (57 percent).
But drill down on GOP responses and things get confusing. A growing majority of Republicans say the president tweets too much — but far fewer see his tweets as a negative thing. "Although Republicans voters agree President Trump's use of Twitter is excessive, they do not necessarily think it's damaging his agenda," said Morning Consult co-founder Kyle Dropp. "While 58 percent of Republicans say President Trump uses Twitter too much, only 38 percent say his Twitter use is a bad thing."
Why about one in five Republicans would want Trump to tweet less if his tweets are not "a bad thing" is unclear. Intriguingly, while basically the same proportions of Republican men and women say Trump tweets too often, GOP men are substantially more likely than women (46 to 30 percent) to say the tweets are good and less likely (33 to 44 percent) to say they're bad. Bonnie Kristian
In a survey of 87 cybersecurity experts published Monday, The Washington Post found they overwhelmingly believe state election systems are vulnerable to hacking in the 2018 midterms.
"We are going to need more money and more guidance on how to effectively defend against the sophisticated adversaries we are facing to get our risk down to acceptable levels," Rep. Jim Langevin (D-R.I.), co-chair of the Congressional Cybersecurity Caucus and one of the experts polled, told the Post. "I hope Congress continues to work to address this vital national security issue," Langevin added. He argues the $380 million allotted for election cybersecurity in March is not enough.
On a more positive note, the experts who spoke with the Post generally agreed systems are more secure than they were in the last election, and there is "no evidence that Russian hackers actually changed any votes in 2016," though they did access some voter data. Bonnie Kristian
Democrats are losing support among millennial voters, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Monday, with the 2018 midterm elections half a year away. Only 46 percent of voters aged 18 to 34 now say they prefer a Democrat over a Republican for Congress, down from 55 percent this time in 2016. Among white millennials specifically, just 39 percent prefer a Democratic candidate.
The Republican Party has not seen a wide influx of youth support — a mere 28 percent of respondents said they intend to vote GOP, an increase of a single point since 2016 — but millennials tend to lack strong party identification and are increasingly favorable to Republican economic policies, Reuters reports. They are now almost evenly divided as to which party "has a better plan for the economy." In 2016, Democrats' economic agenda was favored by a 12-point margin.
"It sounds strange to me to say this about the Republicans, but they're helping with even the small things," said Terry Hood, 34, a Louisiana voter who backed Hillary Clinton in 2016. "They're taking less taxes out of my paycheck. I notice that." Bonnie Kristian