Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is leading President Trump by more than 7 percentage points in national polling averages, but as Trump showed in 2016, winning the Electoral College is what gets you elected. "Trump is on the defensive in three red states he carried in 2016," The New York Times reported Thursday morning, unveiling polling of likely voters in Iowa, Georgia, and Texas. Thanks to "a wall of opposition from women," the Times reports, Trump trails Biden by 3 points in Iowa, is tied with him in Georgia, and is ahead by 3 points in Texas, and the Democrats are competitive in those states' Senate races as well. An overwhelming majority of voters say they have definitely made up their mind about their vote, meaning late swings in support are unlikely.

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