Why 2010 could be the GOP’s year
Following the recent “explosion of populist opposition to President Obama, congressional Democrats, and their liberal agenda,” the signs are pointing to a GOP resurgence, said Fred Barnes in <em>The Weekly Standard.<
Fred BarnesThe Weekly Standard
Republicans are poised for a comeback in the midterm elections of 2010, said Fred Barnes. The conventional wisdom is that 2008 ushered in a new era of Democratic control. But following the recent “explosion of populist opposition to President Obama, congressional Democrats, and their liberal agenda,” the signs are pointing to a GOP resurgence.
Take Obama’s sinking approval ratings, which now hover around 50 percent. If he dips below 50 percent next year, the history of midterm elections suggests the GOP could gain 40 seats—enough to recapture a majority in the House. Other polls have also found evidence that the pendulum is swinging back to the Republicans, with the gap in party identification closing from a 14-point Democratic advantage to six points today. And a majority of independents actually now lean Republican, a Gallup poll found. That’s big news, since independents clustered in swing districts enabled Democrats to capture dozens of House seats in 2006 and 2008.
Next year’s midterms won’t reproduce the Republican landslide of 1994, but change is in the wind. Soon, Obama may face some real opposition from Congress.