New Hampshire primary 2020
February 12, 2020

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) finished a disappointing fourth place in New Hampshire's Democratic primary on Tuesday, and in her concession speech she congratulated her "friend and colleague Amy Klobuchar for showing just how wrong the pundits can be when they count a woman out."

Klobuchar's (D-Minn.) third-place finish was perhaps the biggest surprise of the night, and her late surge "has been the talk of the campaign for the last few days," reports Politico's Marcus Navarro. "Over 200 members of the media reserved spots at Klobuchar's election night watch party, with staffers continuously expanding the press section as more reporters filed in at the beginning of the night."

Klobuchar ended the night with six new delegates, versus nine each for primary winner Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and runner-up Pete Buttigieg. Added to her one delegate from Iowa, Klobuchar now has seven delegates, one behind Warren, who scored eight delegates in Iowa. That puts Warren in third place after Buttigieg (23 delegates) and Sanders (21). Joe Biden has six.

A distant third place and no apparent momentum isn't great news for Warren. But in a campaign memo Tuesday, Warren campaign manager Roger Lau suggested a narrow path to eventual victory. "No candidate has come close yet to receiving majority support among the Democratic primary electorate, and there is no candidate that has yet shown the ability to consolidate support," he wrote. "After New Hampshire tonight, 98 percent of pledged delegates will still be up for grabs. And as the race consolidates after Super Tuesday, we expect the results to show that Elizabeth Warren is the consensus choice of the widest coalition of Democrats in every corner of the country." Peter Weber

February 12, 2020

The relatively low turnout for Iowa's Democratic caucuses prompted some concerns about Democratic enthusiasm in the 2020 election, but New Hampshire primary voters turned out in force on Tuesday. With nearly 90 percent of precincts reporting, 274,785 people voted in the Democratic primary, above the 253,062 turnout level in 2016 and edging close to the record turnout of 287,527 in 2008, as NBC's Steve Kornacki notes.

But as The Atlantic's Ronald Brownstein points out, the high turnout didn't appear to help any one candidate.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is the consensus declared winner of the New Hampshire primary, but his roughly 26 percent of the vote is a sharp falloff from his 2016 win, when he beat Hillary Clinton 60 percent to 38 percent. Brownstein says that's the lowest winning Democratic vote share in New Hampshire since 1952.

Sanders had "asked supporters to engineer the 'highest turnout in the history of the New Hampshire primary,'" David Weigel reports at The Washington Post, but high turnout "may not necessarily help him: The absence of a real Republican contest has freed up the state's 400,000-plus 'non-affiliated' voters, and in the past few days, it was easy to find them poking around at events for Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg."

"If I had to sum up the night (and the Democratic race to date)," FiveThirtyEight's Dan Hopkins wrote Tuesday night, "I'd say this: 'All Your Candidates Belong to Factions.'" Peter Weber

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