election logic
September 2, 2020

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden could earn an even bigger popular vote margin than Hillary Clinton did in 2016 and still lose to President Trump.

That's the reality FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver revealed in a Wednesday tweet, in which he showed how winning the popular vote would affect Biden's chances of winning the Electoral College. Silver's analysis showed Biden needs a very solid popular vote just to have a good chance of winning, once again renewing arguments against the Electoral College's entire existence.

The New York Times' Jamelle Bouie took a constitutional approach to his thread tearing apart the Electoral College.

MSNBC's Chris Hayes forecast a dark future if the system wasn't abolished.

And The New Yorker's Evan Osnos argued the Electoral College doesn't exactly fit into America's vision of democracy.

Silver's analysis stems from the fact that Biden will likely pull big margins of victory in states that are already solidly blue, as well as the fact that the winner of most states' popular votes get all their Electoral votes no matter how close that popular margin was. Kathryn Krawczyk

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