indecision 2020
December 22, 2016

The overwhelming preference among Democrats and independents for the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee is "someone entirely new," according to a new Suffolk University/USA Today poll. Hillary Clinton fares considerably worse, with 23 percent of Democrats and independents saying they would be excited if she ran again and 62 percent saying she shouldn't compete. Vice President Joe Biden, who would be 78, gets the thumbs up from 43 percent of respondents (versus 31 percent who say no), and Sen. Bernie Sanders would excite 44 percent of Democrats and independents (while 38 percent say he shouldn't run).

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) had a 34 percent excited, 27 percent opposed score, while the other potential candidate named, former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick, excited 10 percent of Democrats and independents, with 15 percent opposed and 53 percent unsure who he is. The poll was conducted Dec. 14-18 with 626 registered voters who self-identified as Democrat or independent, and has a margin of error of ±3.9 percentage points.

When Republicans were included, 39 percent of voters said the think first lady Michelle Obama should run for elected office, despite her saying she won't, versus 53 percent who said she should not. Kellyanne Conway, Donald Trump's campaign manager, got the go-ahead from 14 percent of voters and a thumbs-down from 52 percent. Trump himself was viewed favorably by 40 percent of respondents and unfavorably by 45 percent, while President Obama had a 55 percent favorable, 40 percent unfavorable rating. On Russia's meddling in the U.S. election, 36 percent said they are very concerned, 21 percent said they are concerned, and 22 percent said they are not concerned; voters want Trump and Congress to investigate Russian meddling by a margin of 62 percent to 33 percent. Among all 1,000 respondent, the margin of error was ± 3 points. Peter Weber

May 25, 2016

The 2020 Republican primary schedule may look quite a bit different from this year's process if party leadership gets its way with rule changes at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland this summer.

Following a chaotic nominating process and looking toward the possibility of the first contested convention in decades, the GOP is beginning to consider a substantial overhaul of the way it picks presidential candidates. In one proposal, Iowa and New Hampshire would retain their early voting status, but each would be paired with a rotating selection of other states from their region — Iowa with Minnesota in 2020, for example, and then with South Dakota in 2024.

Other suggestions are more radical, like abolishing these states' unique position altogether in favor of a fully rotating calendar of primaries which gives voters in all 50 states a chance to be early deciders every few years. One thing seems certain, though: Nevada will likely lose its early position on the primary calendar thanks to alleged "irregularity" and disorder at the state's 2016 caucuses. Bonnie Kristian

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