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November 12, 2018

A new Axios/Survey Monkey poll finds Republicans and Democrats alike struggle to use positive descriptors of people in the other party.

A majority of Democrats say Republicans are racist, bigoted, sexist, and ignorant; while a majority of Republicans say Democrats are spiteful. Nearly half — 49 percent — of Republicans also said Democrats are ignorant, which is within the three-point margin of error of to be a majority statement as well.


(Axios)

Asked about positive descriptors, results were similarly bleak. Fewer than 5 percent of either party would characterize people in the other as fair, thoughtful, or kind. However, fewer than a quarter of each side were willing to make the leap to labeling their political opponents outright "evil." Bonnie Kristian

November 5, 2018

Just half of Americans report they have faith in U.S. democracy in a new Axios/Survey Monkey poll conducted late last month and reported Monday. Nearly one in 10 say they never had faith in democracy in the first place, and 37 percent report they once had faith but have now lost it.


(Axios)

Axios and Survey Monkey have asked the same question six times since October 2016 and found a rise in democratic faith around the presidential election that was erased over the following 12 months with steady numbers since.

While no demographic group expressed more than 70 percent faith in democracy, some demographics were substantially more likely to express it than others. White people and Hispanics, Republicans, suburbanites, men, the elderly, the college educated, and supporters of President Trump were the most likely to say they have faith in democracy now.

By contrast, black people, women, voters aged 18-34, urbanites, those with a high school education or less, Gary Johnson voters in 2016, nonvoters, and political independents were disproportionately likely to say they never had faith.

And self-identified liberal Democrats were the demographic most likely, at 55 percent, to say they have lost their faith in American democracy. Bonnie Kristian

October 8, 2018

The Republican Party has long cast itself as a bulwark protecting "real America" against Washingtonian overreach — in recent years, think the Tea Party or President Trump's pledge to "drain the swamp" — but new Gallup poll results published Monday show the GOP is rapidly embracing the federal government.

This time last year, just 47 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning respondents told Gallup they were satisfied with "the way the nation is being governed." This year, that figure has surged to 72 percent.

Unsurprisingly, satisfaction with governance is markedly partisan. Just 10 percent of Democrats have expressed this satisfaction since Trump took office, and Republican satisfaction hovered at a similar level throughout former President Barack Obama's tenure. However, the divergence was not so dramatic during the early years of the George W. Bush administration; in 2001 and 2002, Democrats' satisfaction was in the 40s, only about 40 percentage points lower than Republicans' record high of 82 percent. Bonnie Kristian

September 17, 2018

Americans on both sides of the aisle are worried about meddling in the midterm elections, a new NPR/Marist poll finds, and they're convinced it won't help their party.

Asked which party potential voter fraud would favor in the midterms, 77 percent of Democrats said it would help Republicans, and 67 percent of Republicans said it would favor Democrats. Independents were split, but slightly more (41 to 36 percent, with a 4 percent margin of error throughout the survey) believe the GOP would benefit.

Party affiliation also corresponded with disagreement on what sort of meddling is likely to happen. A majority of Democrats are suspicious of foreign interference from Russia or another country, while Republicans are overwhelmingly concerned with a more domestic threat: voter suppression or illicit voting, especially by immigrants who are not U.S. citizens.

As NPR notes, there's no evidence of foreign manipulation of U.S. ballots (Russian election interference techniques were more indirect). And many of the very few improper votes that are cast each election are accidental, like the Texas woman sentenced to five years in prison for unintentionally violating the law by voting while on probation.

The survey also found a significant split on whether "many votes" will simply not be counted. While most white voters aren't concerned this may happen, a majority of non-white voters think it will.

All told, nearly 4 in 10 Americans say our elections are not fair. The poll was conducted Sept. 5-9 and reached 949 adults over the phone. See the full results here. Bonnie Kristian

August 27, 2018

When asked to compare the performance of male and female politicians on various aspects of holding elected office, most Americans rank them equally. But for those who say one gender performs better than the other, a new survey reported Monday at The Washington Post notes, women increasingly and consistently win the day.

The study polled voters' views on how each gender handles 12 specific policy issues, leadership, representation of their constituents, civility, and ethics. In each case, a majority or plurality ranked men and women equally. But even on traditionally "male" issues, like foreign affairs and gun regulations, more preferred women's approach than men's. Perhaps the most striking disparity was on civility, where 46 percent held the genders are equal, but 45 percent preferred women and only 9 percent preferred men.

"More voters think women would do a better job — on everything — than believe that of men," summarizes Melissa Deckman, a professor of public affairs at Washington College who conducted the poll.

This held true across party lines, though Democrats were more likely to rate women better, and Republicans did give men preference on four issues: gun policy, law enforcement, immigration, and foreign affairs. Women elected to public office in America are nearly three times more likely to be Democrats than Republicans. Read The Week's Gracy Olmstead on how the GOP could shift that balance. Bonnie Kristian

August 14, 2018

Two in three Americans are ready for Special Counsel Robert Mueller to wind down his probe into Russian election meddling efforts and alleged Trump campaign collusion. In fact, a new CNN poll finds, they'd like him to be finished by the midterms.

While answers vary along predictably partisan lines — fully 72 percent of Republican respondents said they're ready to shut it down — even most Democrats (57 percent) would like the investigation to end before it's time to vote. Mueller has led the inquiry since May 2017.

The same survey found 3 in 10 say Mueller's conclusions will be "extremely important" to their voting decisions. Democrats and those who disapprove of President Trump are more likely than average to want the probe results available to inform their vote. Additionally, 7 in 10 say Trump should testify for Mueller if requested, and 56 percent say they believe the president has already tried to interfere in the investigation. Bonnie Kristian

July 3, 2018

For the first time in 18 years of Gallup polling on this question, fewer than half of Americans say they are "extremely proud" of their nationality.

From a peak of 70 percent in 2003, the proportion of those who are "extremely proud to be Americans" has steadily declined, plateauing in the final years of the George W. Bush administration and most of former President Obama's tenure and starting to noticeably decline in 2015.


(Gallup)

Still, most Americans continue to express some degree of pride in their country. The 47 percent who are "extremely proud" are joined by 25 percent who are "very proud" and 16 percent who are "moderately proud" for an easy proud majority of 88 percent. Just 3 percent say they are not proud at all.

Extreme pride in being American varies considerably along demographic lines: Republicans are more likely to be extremely proud than Democrats, men are more likely than women, white people than minorities, the old than the young, and those who have not graduated from college than those who have. Bonnie Kristian

June 18, 2018

A majority of Americans oppose the Trump administration's policy of separating migrant children from their families after they enter the U.S. illegally or seek asylum at the border, a new poll conducted by Ipsos for The Daily Beast reveals.

The survey asked respondents whether they agree with this statement: "It is appropriate to separate undocumented immigrant parents from their children when they cross the border in order to discourage others from crossing the border illegally." About 1 in 4 — 27 percent — said they agreed, and 56 percent said the separations are not appropriate.

While Democrats were more likely than average to oppose the policy and independents nearly matched the national average, a plurality of Republicans (46 percent) agreed with the statement, compared to 32 percent who said they do not agree.

This poll was conducted online from June 14 to 15, surveying about 1,000 people. Ipsos calculates a credibility interval, which is similar to a margin of error, of 3.5 percent overall and 6.1 to 7.8 percent for party loyalty subsets. Bonnie Kristian

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