who?
October 22, 2019

The anonymous op-ed writer is still very anonymous.

But there might be a lot more linguistic clues to figure out their identity coming soon, along with a whole new look inside the Trump White House. That's because the anonymous senior official who wrote a New York Times op-ed about the silent "resistance" working under President Trump is writing a whole book called A Warning, their publisher said Tuesday.

It's been more than a year since an op-ed by an anonymous Trump senior official appeared in The New York Times, calling Trump's leadership style "impetuous, adversarial, petty, and ineffective" and saying they are among a quiet "resistance" trying to stop Trump from executing the worst decisions. Pretty much every Trump official denied they wrote it, and the author's identity still hasn't been revealed.

Now, that person has written a whole book promising to be an expansion of the "behind-the-scenes portrait of the Trump presidency" they wrote for the Times. The author's literary agent wouldn't comment on whether the person still worked for the White House, but did say they will "donate a substantial amount of any royalties to the White House Correspondents Association and other organizations that fight for a free press that seeks the truth," per the Times. Kathryn Krawczyk

March 11, 2019

It's never too early to start thinking about 2020 — and profiting from it.

We're still 20 blissful months away from the next presidential election, yet bets are already being placed on who will clinch party nominations and the White House. And while polls may have former Vice President Joe Biden leading the pack of Democrats challenging President Trump, betters have different ideas, odds compiled at ElectionBettingOdds.com show.

Not too unexpectedly, President Trump is leading the pack with a 32.5 percent chance of winning the presidency on Monday. The next candidate in line is Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), with 12.7 percent odds, followed by Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) with 12.3 percent and then Biden with 12.1 percent. Harris only had seven percent of Democrats backing her up in Sunday's Des Moines Register, CNN, and Mediacom poll, yet she's leading the betting field to win the Democratic primary with 20.4 percent odds.

One of the biggest shockers is how confident betters are in Democratic candidate Andrew Yang, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver points out. Sure, the entrepreneur may only have a 2.1 percent chance of winning the entire presidency, per these odds, but he's tied with Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and not far behind Sen. Elizabeth Warren's (D-Mass.) 2.2 percent.

Meanwhile on the Republican side, Trump dominates chances of winning the presidential primary with 72.7 percent. Yet if some lucky betters have their way, the odds of some "other" candidate winning are stacked at a solid 13.3 percent. Check out more odds at ElectionBettingOdds.com. Kathryn Krawczyk

April 7, 2016

In anticipation of a possible contested convention in July, Donald Trump's campaign has brought on Paul Manafort to head their attempts to round up delegates and manage things in Cleveland. Manafort is a lobbyist and political consultant with a 40-year career, although some parts of his past appear to be a little controversial, The Washington Post reports.

Take, for example, the fact that Manafort's firms have advised a business group tied to the dictator of the Philippines as well as Viktor Yanukovych, the ousted Ukrainian president and Putin ally, and the former Bahamian Prime Minister Lynden Pindling, who has been tied to drug traffickers.

Then there are Manafort's two lobbying and consulting firms, Black, Manafort, Stone, and Kelly and Davis Manafort. Black, Manafort, Stone, and Kelly was investigated by a congressional panel in 1989 for obtaining millions in federal grants to repair a low-income housing complex in New Jersey, with Manafort and his partners earning consulting fees from developers. Manafort had even said during the investigation that his work could be deemed "influence peddling." Manafort also lobbied on the behalf of the Trump Organization for gaming and tax issues in New York and Florida decades ago.

But Manafort is good at what he does, insiders say. "He's one of the true first-rate professionals in the Republican Party. There's only a handful of people, I really mean that, that can honestly say they know how a national convention works. He's one of them," said lobbyist and former Republican congressman from Minnesota Vin Weber. Weber, who is critical of Trump, added, "This is one of the most impressive things I've seen the Trump organization do. Maybe the only impressive thing."

After all, Manafort has one very appealing line on his resume for the Trump campaign: winning the 1976 contested convention fight for Gerald Ford. Jeva Lange

February 12, 2016

On Friday afternoon, former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore announced the suspension of his campaign for president. Although, one could be forgiven forgetting he was even in the race — the long-shot Republican candidate's decision comes after dismal performances in both the New Hampshire primary and Iowa caucus, where he received the support of a measly 12 caucusgoers.

Gilmore's fellow GOP hopefuls Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina also dropped out of the race earlier this week after poor showings in New Hampshire.

And then there were six. Stephanie Talmadge

November 11, 2015

Usually when analysts measure Google searches during debates, they're looking to see how candidates resonate with voters. But for Rick Santorum, who found himself in the Republican undercard debate alongside Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, and Bobby Jindal on Tuesday evening, the high searches he garnered might have genuinely been a question of, "Wait, who is this guy, again?"

According to an extremely informal poll held by Five Thirty Eight during the debate, 69.8 percent of its readers reported that Santorum was the candidate they had "kinda forgotten was still running for president." Behind him was Jindal at 31 percent and Huckabee at 22 percent.

The peak of interest in Santorum came when he spoke about the VA, accidentally shouting into the microphone:

Registering a whopping 0.8 percent in Real Clear Politics' polling average, Santorum has been fighting being unmemorable for awhile now. "Have the national media forgotten about Rick Santorum?" The Washington Examiner asked in April — before he'd even jumped in the race. Jeva Lange

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