Is the dream of an 'emerging Democratic majority' dead?

A donkey.
(Image credit: Illustrated | iStock)

A new Wall Street Journal poll shows Hispanic voters evenly split between the two parties on the generic congressional ballot for next year's midterm elections. Perhaps even more shockingly, President Biden would only beat former President Donald Trump by a single point among these voters if the 2024 presidential election was held today.

It's just one poll, but it is part of a broader trend showing Hispanics beginning to vote more like non-Hispanic whites, and non-white conservatives voting more like white conservatives generally. As is the case among white voters, men tend to be more Republican, women more Democratic; other surveys have similarly found that religion and age also matter in terms of party affiliation.

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W. James Antle III

W. James Antle III is the politics editor of the Washington Examiner, the former editor of The American Conservative, and author of Devouring Freedom: Can Big Government Ever Be Stopped?.