North Korean soldiers are making their way to Ukraine to fight alongside the Russian army, in a "grim reality" confirmed by South Korea's intelligence agency, said Edward Howell in The Spectator.
The move represents a "huge" escalation risk, Ukraine's Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha warned over the weekend. While the troop numbers are small compared to the millions of people involved in the overall war effort, Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said that any third country wading into the conflict in his country would be "the first step to a world war".
What North Korean troops are involved? Around 1,500 troops from North Korea's special forces have already been deployed to Russia en route to Ukraine, and that could eventually rise to 10,000, according to President Zelenskyy. It is not clear whether they will be involved in frontline fighting or in a support role, but any public display of their military insignia would signal that "Pyongyang is publicly invested in the war against Ukraine and in its alliance with Russia", said The Interpreter.
Why is North Korea doing this? Russian forces have become increasingly reliant on millions of rounds of North Korean artillery shells and, in recent months, ballistic missiles, in a clear breach of UN Security Council resolutions. Moscow's "obstinacy towards continuing the war, coupled with North Korea's desire for financial and technological assistance (and for food), has allowed relations between the two pariah states to reach a whole new level", said Howell in The Spectator.
Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty last summer committing both countries to providing military assistance to each other if either were attacked. The current deployment of North Korean soldiers to fight in Ukraine "highlights just how far the partnership has escalated".
How worried should we be? South Korea's President Yoon Suk Yeol has warned that Pyongyang's involvement in the Ukraine conflict would pose a "grave security threat" to the world.
The deployment of North Korean troops to Ukraine is a hugely symbolic moment in the "new, anti-Western coalition" being forged between Russia, North Korea, China and Iran, said Howell. Moscow will do "all it can to prolong its now-global war". |