The Dalai Lama will mark his 90th birthday this week by revealing the long-awaited plans for his succession.
The choice of a new spiritual leader for Tibetan Buddhists is "a matter of riveting interest not only for followers of his religion, but also China, India, and the United States, for strategic reasons", said Reuters.
How is the Dalai Lama chosen? Finding a new Dalai Lama means "recognising the leader's reincarnated form", a process "shrouded in mysticism and little understood outside closed religious circles", said The Sunday Times.
By Tibetan tradition, after a Dalai Lama's death, senior monks begin the search for the infant they believe to be his reincarnation. This process involves "dream interpretation, inference from omens and ancient rituals, and pilgrimages to sacred sites".
The problem is that this search "can take years", said The Diplomat, "often leaving a spiritual and leadership vacuum" for Tibetan Buddhists. So the 14th Dalai Lama is "rewriting the script". He has indicated that he may "emanate" to another person while still alive, and that this person could be adult and not necessarily a man.
What role could China play? "China is determined to shape the narrative around this succession, to prevent the erosion of its grip on Tibet", which it annexed in the 1950s, said Bloomberg.
The Chinese Communist Party is expected to try to hijack the succession, as it did in 1995 when it put up its own candidate for Panchen Lama, the second highest figure in Tibetan Buddhism. The Dalai Lama's choice, six-year-old Gedhun Choekyi Nyima, was detained by Chinese officials and has not been seen since.
What about those in Tibet? But "there are significant risks for China, too", said The Economist. Despite denouncing the current Dalai Lama as a separatist "wolf in monk's robes”, Beijing has tried to "revive back-channel talks" in recent years and to persuade him to return to Tibet. "Without him, the Tibetan movement could fragment and embrace a more radical drive for complete independence."
For Tibetans, the Dalai Lama's succession plan "will illuminate the real challenge ahead: how to preserve their identity after the man who embodies it is gone". |