Reform UK "has started to see childbearing as fertile political territory", said Politico. The party is "trying to cut immigration drastically", a spokesperson told the site, and "to encourage British people already here to have kids". And having called for a "shift in attitudes" to improve the country's birth rate, Nigel Farage is backing up the rhetoric with policy proposals.
What policies is Reform proposing? Farage announced in May that Reform would scrap the two-child benefit cap, which restricts the amount of means-tested state benefit a family can receive for their children. In its election manifesto, the party said it would also extend the tax break for married couples, and "front-load" the child benefit system so parents get more money while their children are younger.
Why is Reform focusing on babies? It's not just about addressing the birth-rate figures; Farage believes his "family focus" will win him votes, particularly among women, said Politico. The party's vote share among women aged 18 to 26 has "shot up", according to the More in Common think tank, with parenting policies thought to be a factor. Farage's promise to scrap the existing two-child benefit cap could also sway "voters switching from Labour to Reform", said Politico.
Will it work? The rhetoric is "straight from the playbook of other right-leaning politicians", such as US Vice President J.D. Vance, said Vicky Spratt in The i Paper. In Hungary, right-wing populist PM Viktor Orbán introduced free SUVs, generous tax breaks and subsidised mortgages for families under the age of 40 who have three or more children, but his incentives push "has not worked" and birth rates are "still falling".
Other countries, such as France and Sweden, offer "generous" support for parents yet birth rates continue to fall there too, and "it's going to take more than a free SUV or time off work to change this downward trajectory", said Spratt. One thing seems clear, though: if Labour fails to offer "progressive policies to support young families and those who would like to have children, other voices will fill the void". |