During his 15 years in power, Hungary's Viktor Orban (pictured above) has become the model for other would-be authoritarian strongman leaders, including Donald Trump. Driven by a conservative nationalist agenda, his Fidesz party has transformed Hungary into a self-declared "illiberal state". But now Europe's longest-serving premier is "facing the toughest political challenge to his rule", said Bloomberg.
What did the commentators say? "Orban's power is indeed now under threat but not in the way – or from the people – one might expect," said BBC Budapest correspondent Nick Thorpe.
Peter Magyar is a former Fidesz insider who emerged as a surprise challenger in early 2024, after he spoke out against a child sexual abuse cover-up that led to the resignation of the Fidesz president. Since then, the 44-year-old conservative has toured the country, calling out rampant nepotism and corruption, while highlighting the perilous state of the economy and declining public services.
The key to Magyar's appeal, said law professor Maciej Kisilowski in The Japan Times, is that, although he "broke with Orban's authoritarian 'mafia state', he did not abandon many of the conservative values that Orban represents". Boosted by his savvy and, at times, irreverent use of social media, Magyar represents an emerging "far right-lite" in Europe, in the mould of Italy's Giorgia Meloni – one which minimises its "most harmful geopolitical, economic and environmental" policies, while still playing to the "deeply entrenched nativist and anti-intellectual sentiments of today's conservative voters".
This strategy appears to be paying dividends. Recent polling has Magyar's Tisza Party surging to a massive 15-point lead over Fidesz, said Bloomberg, up from a nine-point lead in March. Orban's "formula of bashing gays, migrants and the European Union seems to have stopped working", said The Economist, for the time being at least.
What next? Orban is still expected to seek a fifth term in parliamentary elections due to be held in April 2026. But, for the first time, he has broached the topic of succession – until now "largely taboo within Fidesz circles", said Bloomberg. "When the time comes, we'll manage", he told pro-government newspaper Magyar Nemzet on Monday, adding that the notion that only he could lead Fidesz is a "myth". |