Is the American economy's Age of Suck finally over?

Blisteringly strong GDP growth is cause for some optimism

Economic growth
(Image credit: (iStock))

The American economy is a tricky beast. Just when pessimists on the left (Too much inequality!) and downers on the right (Too much Obama!) had written the economy off, it goes and posts its best showing in more than a decade. The nation's gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, grew by a white-hot 5 percent in the third quarter — revised upward from a 3.9 percent initial estimate last month — according to the Commerce Department. That's the fastest growth since summer 2003, and comes right after an almost-as-strong 4.6 percent gain in the second quarter. Punch it, Chewie!

Alas, almost no one expects such a torrid pace to continue. Over the past generation, long periods of such ultrafast growth have only happened right after the deep 1981-82 recession and during the 1990s internet boom. And they've been really rare in the 2000s. From 1981 through 2000, there were 21 individual quarters where the economy grew by 5 percent or faster — but just two quarters of such fast growth since, including this most recent one. Indeed, the recovery from the Great Recession has been so anemic that many economists have wondered whether slow growth was the "new normal" or a "permanent slump."

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James Pethokoukis

James Pethokoukis is the DeWitt Wallace Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute where he runs the AEIdeas blog. He has also written for The New York Times, National Review, Commentary, The Weekly Standard, and other places.