Is investing in stocks too frighteningly risky?

The dizzying ups and downs of equities markets are scaring investors all around the world — and some prognosticators believe a crash is inevitable

A trader looking concerned on the New York Stock Exchange: Europe's debt crisis is causing many to question whether stocks have lost their security.
(Image credit: Michael Nagle/Getty Images)

The stock market has been alarmingly volatile lately, rising by hundreds of points one day only to fall sharply the next. The looming debt crisis in Europe is largely to blame — and the fear that Greece and other struggling governments will default on their loan payments has already scared many investors away from stocks and toward the relative safety of U.S. government bonds. Is it time for smart investors get out of stocks altogether?

Yes. Investors need shelter from the coming crash: One way to measure the value of the stock market is to compare it to the size of the economy as a whole, says Martin Hutchinson at Reuters. And the Dow Jones Industrial Average, at around 11,000, is 3,000 points higher than it should be if it had tracked with GDP growth since February 1995, the first time the Dow hit 4,000. In other words, stocks are overvalued. "That suggests a crash is more likely than a 'double-dip' recession."

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