Best Business Commentary

Ignore the oil-supply naysayers, says Nansen G. Saleri in The Wall Street Journal. Washington is “scrambling for ways to slow the tide of foreclosures,” says USA Today in an editorial, but some of the proposals would cost “billions of taxpayer dollars.”

The oil shortage myth

Ignore the oil-supply naysayers, says Nansen G. Saleri in The Wall Street Journal. “We are nowhere close to reaching a peak in global oil supplies.” The current consensus, based on “Sputnik-era” oil-extraction technologies, puts the “peak-oil-point”—or the “onset of global production decline”—at around 2030. But the world has “sufficient liquid crude” to “sustain production rates at or near 100 million barrels per day almost to the end of this century.” We might well move away from “a fossil-based energy system” this century, but it will be becuase of “superior alternatives,” not a shortage of oil. It’s an “overused observation,” but “the Stone Age did not end due to a lack of stones.”

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