A cautious effort to tame inflation

What will the federal reserve do?

The Federal Reserve building in Washington.
(Image credit: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

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With inflation racing, the Federal Reserve moved to contain it — but probably too gingerly to make a difference, said Allison Schrager in Bloomberg. The central bank raised its borrowing rate by 25 basis points — a quarter of 1 percent — last week for the first time since 2018, with more increases expected over the course of the year. Normally, the biggest worry with rate hikes is that "the Fed will overshoot and cause a recession." But this modest move only "feels like a big deal" because the Fed has kept rates so low for so long. Despite an inflation rate of 7.9 percent, the Fed isn't really slowing the economy, just trying to put the engine into neutral and "hoping that inflation will go away." Unfortunately, many economists doubt it will. The central bank has taken much more aggressive action in the past "to slow the economy down, revise expectations, and lower inflation," and may well need to do so again.

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