Israel has reaffirmed its commitment to the Gaza ceasefire deal after conducting air strikes that killed at least 104 Palestinians.
Donald Trump was quick to defend the integrity of his landmark diplomatic achievement following the overnight strikes, launched in response to Hamas’ failure to hand over the remains of all dead hostages and the killing of an Israeli soldier last week. “Nothing is going to jeopardise” the peace plan, the US president told reporters.
What did the commentators say? The “fragile ceasefire remains in place” for now, despite having been “tested and challenged” in recent days, said Sky News’ Middle East correspondent Adam Parsons. Israel “felt it had to respond to a series of provocations”. To the surprise of many, Hamas has distanced itself from attacks on IDF personnel, in an apparent bid “to stay on a path that, long term”, allows it to “still have a part to play in Gaza’s future”. But “perhaps the most decisive” factor in maintaining the ceasefire is the involvement of the US.
In the past week, Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have all warned against a return to hostilities. “There is no plan B,” Rubio said during a visit to Israel.
This ceasefire is starting to feel like “a hostage swap disguised as diplomacy”, said Middle East Monitor. In practice, it has “functioned as a calculated break, a short interval that allowed Israel to regroup, re-arm and resume its mass killing campaign with the full backing of the US”.
What next? Recent incidents that have angered both sides “reflect the current troubled state of the ceasefire”, said Jonathan Spyer, director of research at the Middle East Forum, in The Spectator. But they “probably do not presage its imminent collapse, because neither side has an interest at the present time in a full return to hostilities”.
Hamas needs to maintain the support of Turkey and Qatar, who “in turn want to stay on the right side of the US administration”. Israel, meanwhile, wants a “period of rest and recuperation for its exhausted soldiers and similarly has an interest in staying on the right side of the Trump administration”.
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