SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI are all preparing initial public offerings, competing for investor cash that could determine who ends up the winner of the artificial intelligence era. The three companies “could make 2026 the biggest year for US IPOs”, said the Financial Times.
SpaceX chief Elon Musk departed OpenAI in 2018, followed by Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei in 2020. Now, the AI rivals are positioning themselves to “command the deepest pool of capital”. But while they’re hoping to “ride a wave of AI enthusiasm” among investors, stock markets may be less enamored of the sector’s “vast cash burn”.
What did the commentators say? The success of the IPOs depends on whether the AI startups can “keep growing at the ridiculous rates they have achieved so far”, said Parmy Olson at Bloomberg. OpenAI aims to bring in $280 billion in revenues by 2030, up from about $25 billion now. To achieve that goal, the company’s corporate customers “must plug its technology into a broader array” of uses, including “sales, finance, healthcare, human resources, logistics” and more. But many potential business clients are “keeping generative AI at bay”, amid questions about whether it’s “reliable enough for use in high-stakes decision-making”.
The “data centres, chips and cloud capacity” required by OpenAI cost a lot of money, said Beatrice Nolan at Fortune. Its IPO filing will help determine whether the company can turn a profit sooner rather than later.
What next? Although many investors are enthusiastic about AI, experts warn that the “novel technology comes with new risks”, said The Wall Street Journal. The markets have “not factored in the cost of the vulnerabilities these systems could create”, Navrina Singh, CEO of Credo AI, told the paper.
The IPOs could also be derailed by “abundant and cheap” AI available from Chinese labs such as DeepSeek, said CNBC. “Western challengers” like Nvidia, Cohere, Reflection and Mistral are “building cheaper, smaller, more efficient alternatives”, too. By the time these three IPOs come to fruition, the “central premise of their valuations may already be gone”.
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