Michigan is where presidential dreams live or die. Donald Trump surprisingly won the state in 2016. Joe Biden took it in 2020, but he might have a tough time repeating his performance.
"Michigan Dems have a warning for Biden," Politico announced, as the president visited on Thursday. Arab American voters are a powerful bloc in the state, and many are angry about his support for Israel's war in the Gaza Strip. Michigan Arab leaders turned down an opportunity to meet Biden.
Which is why Biden spent the day instead campaigning at a United Auto Workers hall. "We're going to fight like hell" for Biden, UAW President Shawn Fain told union members.
Discontent over the Israel-Hamas war will make that task tougher. Michigan has become a "quagmire" for Biden, The Hill reported. Arab American voters feel "deep betrayal," per Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.), which means the state — and the presidency — is "up for grabs."
Fragility in the 'blue wall' Michigan should be friendly ground for Biden, as The Associated Press noted it has "increasingly shifted Democratic." But the party's "largest base" is in Detroit's Wayne County, which is also home to a substantial number of those Arab voters.
While Biden was meeting with UAW workers, Al Jazeera reported, Gaza war protesters gathered, some carrying "Genocide Joe has got to go" signs.
On top of that, The Conversation pointed out that while the UAW has endorsed the president, rank-and-file workers might not go along. In 2020, 40% of those union members voted for Trump.
'The level of concern is growing' "Michigan is flashing warning signs," The Wall Street Journal reported. One thing working in Biden's favor, though, is that the state's Republican Party is a mess: Internal drama could "make Trump's turnout efforts in Michigan harder." Still, one Democratic strategist said, "the level of concern is growing and it should be."
"If Biden can't win Michigan, then forget it," Patrick Healy argued in The New York Times. It's the "swing state that matters the most." Michigan should be the easiest win in the "blue wall" given Democratic gains after the downfall of Roe v. Wade. Instead, Biden will really have to work. "Keep your eyes on those Biden trips to Michigan this year; there will be more of them." |