Nate Silver gives Republicans a 68.5 percent chance of winning the Senate

last updated 8 January 2015

Individual Senate, House, and governor races are important, but the big question for the 2014 midterms seems to be: Will Republicans pick up the six seats they need to win control of the Senate. Looking at the raft of polls that came in on Thursday, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver says probably, putting the odds at 68.5 percent, the GOP's "highest figure of the year." What tipped the balance were polls from Kentucky and Arkansas. For a full breakdown of Silver's rankings and analysis, head over to FiveThirtyEight.

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Peter has worked as a news and culture writer and editor at The Week since the site's launch in 2008. He covers politics, world affairs, religion and cultural currents. His journalism career began as a copy editor at a financial newswire and has included editorial positions at The New York Times Magazine, Facts on File, and Oregon State University.