Individual Senate, House, and governor races are important, but the big question for the 2014 midterms seems to be: Will Republicans pick up the six seats they need to win control of the Senate. Looking at the raft of polls that came in on Thursday, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver says probably, putting the odds at 68.5 percent, the GOP's "highest figure of the year." What tipped the balance were polls from Kentucky and Arkansas. For a full breakdown of Silver's rankings and analysis, head over to FiveThirtyEight.
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