Nate Silver gives Republicans a 68.5 percent chance of winning the Senate

last updated 8 January 2015

Individual Senate, House, and governor races are important, but the big question for the 2014 midterms seems to be: Will Republicans pick up the six seats they need to win control of the Senate. Looking at the raft of polls that came in on Thursday, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver says probably, putting the odds at 68.5 percent, the GOP's "highest figure of the year." What tipped the balance were polls from Kentucky and Arkansas. For a full breakdown of Silver's rankings and analysis, head over to FiveThirtyEight.

Subscribe to The Week

Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

SUBSCRIBE & SAVE

https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/flexiimages/jacafc5zvs1692883516.jpg

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters

From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.

Explore More

Peter has worked as a news and culture writer and editor at The Week since the site's launch in 2008. He covers politics, world affairs, religion and cultural currents. His journalism career began as a copy editor at a financial newswire and has included editorial positions at The New York Times Magazine, Facts on File, and Oregon State University.