What happened In apparent defiance of calls for restraint from world leaders, Donald Trump yesterday raised the prospect of toppling Iran's leadership in the wake of US strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend. The US president posted yesterday: "If the current Iranian Regime is unable to MAKE IRAN GREAT AGAIN, why wouldn't there be a Regime change???" In response, Iran's parliament voted to shut the vital Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil transit route, sparking fears of a spike in oil prices and potential global recession.
Who said what Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran "reserves all options to defend its security interests", while its UN ambassador accused the US of sacrificing its own security "to safeguard Netanyahu". Meanwhile, despite Trump's calls for regime change, his administration allies insisted that US strikes were limited. "We're not at war with Iran," said Vice President JD Vance.
This is an "unprecedented moment", said Lyse Doucet on the BBC, "but what the US and Iran do next could be even more momentous". Iran's options to strike back "are limited and fraught with risk", said Julian Borger in The Guardian. But Trump's options also "bring risks at every turn", said David E. Sanger in The New York Times, and the "largest perils" may lie in the aftermath of the initial strikes – "just as they did in Afghanistan and Iraq".
What next? Iran's final decision on the Strait of Hormuz rests with its national security council, but analysts warn oil could surge $5 a barrel or more when markets open. US officials are reportedly already seeing signs that Iran-backed militias may retaliate regionally – potentially pushing the crisis into a broader and more dangerous conflict. |