Indian election: Narendra Modi’s BJP tipped for victory

Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to claim another term in office as the counting begins of more than 600 million votes cast in the country’s six-week election.

Most exit polls put Modi on track to form a government in coalition with smaller parties. However, analysts have warned that such polls have often been wrong in the past.

Early results from the count signalled that the BJP was within reach of an outright majority, thanks to strong gains in the southern state of Karnataka and only moderate losses in the Hindi heartland states of north India.

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The Guardian describes the election as “a contest for the soul of India”, with the Hindu nationalist BJP facing off against Congress, whose secular vision has defined the country for most of the past 72 years.

The Times says the “cult of Modi” is set to give him another five years in power. It adds: “In the seven decades since independence, few leaders have captivated India so utterly as Mr Modi. He and the BJP, with its aggressive brand of Hindu nationalism, have changed Indian politics.”

The BBC paints Modi as a “polarising figure adored by many but also blamed for increasing divisions in India”, while Congress leader Rahul Gandhi “is trying to win over an India weary of his family's dynastic grip on politics”.

Milan Vaishnav, the director of the south Asia programme at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, says: “We are in an era where you have, once more, a central gravitational force around which Indian politics revolves.”

He concludes: “I think 2019 will confirm that the BJP has replaced the Congress as that.”

Rahul Verma, a fellow at the Delhi-based Centre for Policy Research, said: “There is no match for Modi among the opposition parties.”

The analyst added: “He’s running at nearly an all-time high popularity, he’s charismatic, and people still repose faith in him despite not being very happy with the economic side of the government’s performance.”

There has been growing concern over “the spread of violent Hindu nationalism” since Modi’s BJP came to power in 2014, notes CNN, which says the election has “left the country more divided than ever”.

The Indian election is run through a first-past-the-post system. To win, a party or a coalition needs to secure 272 seats out of 543 in the Lok Sabha, or lower house of parliament, to form a government.