Poll: A GOP shutdown is a terrible idea

Tea Partiers get a dose of bad news from a Republican pollster

John Boehner
(Image credit: Mark Wilson/Getty Images)

The last-ditch effort by Republicans to block ObamaCare by yanking its funding kicked into gear this week, with the launch of Heritage Action's campaign to rally reluctant GOP lawmakers behind the plan.

The idea is to use the impending debate over a bill to fund the government to defund key elements of President Obama's health care law. Tea Party Republicans say they want to fund other programs — just not ObamaCare. However, unless they give in, the hostage situation could lead to the hostage getting shot, aka a government shutdown, which mainstream Republicans are determined to avoid.

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Pollster David Winston told respondents, "Some members of Congress have proposed shutting down the government as a way to defund the president's health care law," and asked them whether they approved of the move. Seventy-one percent — including 53 percent of Republicans — opposed a shutdown. Only 37 percent of GOP respondents liked the idea.

Heritage Action, the advocacy arm of the conservative Heritage Foundation think tank, was undeterred. "Unfortunately, Winston polled a strategy that simply does not exist," says Dan Holler at Heritage Action, citing the group's ostensible position that it does not want a government shutdown. Heritage Action, he says, wants to attach a rider to the new, must-pass spending resolution prohibiting any money from being used to implement or enforce the Affordable Care Act.

It is common knowledge that shutting down the government would not defund ObamaCare, which is why those pushing to defund ObamaCare are also pushing to fund the government. In short, Winston has conducted a poll based on a straw man argument that Republican leaders will now use to fight conservatives, thereby preserving ObamaCare. [Heritage Action]

Well, yes and no. Proponents of defunding ObamaCare know that, even though they are not technically proposing to shut down the government, there's no way the Democratic-controlled Senate or Obama would allow ObamaCare to be defunded. The only way to fight the program is to block the whole shebang. Here's Byron York at the Washington Examiner:

There is no doubt defunding advocates anticipate a possible shutdown; their hope is to persuade the public to blame President Obama, and not Republicans, for it. The new numbers suggest they will have a lot of persuading to do. [Washington Examiner]

Indeed, the GOP may already be moving on to another potential hostage: The debt ceiling.

Harold Maass, The Week US

Harold Maass is a contributing editor at The Week. He has been writing for The Week since the 2001 debut of the U.S. print edition and served as editor of TheWeek.com when it launched in 2008. Harold started his career as a newspaper reporter in South Florida and Haiti. He has previously worked for a variety of news outlets, including The Miami Herald, ABC News and Fox News, and for several years wrote a daily roundup of financial news for The Week and Yahoo Finance.