China's Iraqi-oil dominance: Should the U.S. be miffed?
Counter-intuitively, this might actually be good news for U.S. consumers and companies
"Imperialism doesn't pay," says Robert Scheer at The Huffington Post. That's the lesson we Americans should draw from last week's New York Times report detailing how China — and not the U.S. — is cashing in on Iraq's oil. So much for "the myth of wealth following the flag." The U.S. spent more than $3 trillion on the Iraq War, which cost the lives of more than 4,000 soldiers. Yet "it is the studiously neutral government of China that has most clearly benefited." Since the invasion, Iraq has become one of the world's top oil producers, shipping an average of 1.5 million barrels — half of its oil-field production — to China daily. And the Chinese are also profiting handsomely from the interest on "loans they made that floated the U.S. war debt." Our indebtedness over the Iraqi debacle will only grow as we pay to protect the shipping lanes "connecting Iraq's oil with China's ever-expanding economy."
This is all admittedly frustrating, says Gordon G. Chang at National Review, especially since China helped supply Iraqi insurgents during the war by funneling arms and money through Iran. But "there is nothing we can do to prevent Chinese state oil companies from competing against the Western majors for oil rights in Iraq." The Chinese play hardball, and unlike U.S. and other foreign oil companies, they're "willing to accept Baghdad's terms that permit only razor-thin profit margins." In fact, it's easy for them: Chinese companies have no shareholders, no dividends to pay, and don't even have to generate profits. But China's investment in Iraq may backfire. China's growth is slowing, as anyone can see from its tumbling manufacturing and electricity production. With an "anemic" economy on the horizon, "Beijing's relentless drive to dominate Iraqi oil production may not look like such a wise move."
In any event, it doesn't hurt U.S. interests at all, says Steve Hargreaves at CNN.com. China's dominant presence in Iraq's oil fields, in fact, will actually benefit American consumers and companies. Under Baghdad's "pretty lousy" terms, royalties, taxes, and other fees can eat up 90 percent or more of an oil-drilling firm's profit. That's why Western firms would much rather drill in other places where they can make a buck. China's guzzling of Iraqi oil helps "keep a lid on gas prices," and other companies — like ExxonMobil, BP, and Royal Dutch Shell — can earn bigger returns elsewhere.
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There are foreign-policy benefits here, too, says Max Fisher at The Washington Post. By snapping up Iraq's oil, Beijing becomes less reliant on Iran. That could make Chinese officials "more likely to enforce sanctions against Iran" to force it to finally compromise on its nuclear program. And "the more money and interest China has tied up in a stable Iraq," the more incentive Beijing has to promote a stable Middle East. Having skin in the game in this volatile region could make Beijing "act less like a free-rider on a U.S.-enforced international system and more like a responsible stakeholder."
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Sergio Hernandez is business editor of The Week's print edition. He has previously worked for The Daily, ProPublica, the Village Voice, and Gawker.