Pakistan ousts its prime minister: 3 repercussions

The country's Supreme Court kicks out Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani, rattling an already shaky U.S. ally. What's next?

Pakistan's Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani arrives at a Feb. 13 Supreme Court hearing in Islamabad: Gilani was dismissed by the court for contempt Tuesday.
(Image credit: AP Photo/B.K. Bangash)

Pakistan was thrust into political turmoil on Tuesday, when the country's Supreme Court dismissed Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani over a contempt charge stemming from Gilani's refusal to ask Swiss authorities to reopen money laundering cases against his boss, President Asif Ali Zardari. Pakistan's National Assembly, the lower house of its Parliament, will elect a new prime minister on Friday, but the country's political crisis is expected to continue as the government heads toward elections scheduled for next spring. Here, three consequences of the Supreme Court's power play:

1. Pakistan will sink deeper into dangerous uncertainty

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2. Repairing U.S.-Pakistan relations will have to wait

The effort to restore the relationship between Washington and Islamabad has been "indefinitely delayed," says Ahmed Rashid at The Christian Science Monitor. Pakistan is now in the throes of a political crisis and an economic crisis. Those are its priorities right now. Once Pakistan forms a stable government with a clear mandate, "then we can talk about the U.S. relationship." But for now, that's on ice.

3. The new PM will face the same problems as his predecessor

This changes nothing, says Rob Crilly at Britain's Telegraph. No matter who he is, the next prime minister will muddle along "the same as the last one by ignoring the big questions" and focusing on keeping the government alive — and the military out of power — until new elections can be held. Then this government will "become the first in Pakistan's short, coup-riddled history to hand over power in a democratic transition." Unfortunately, that won't solve Pakistan's problems with terrorists, power blackouts, and a "shambolic tax structure." And Gilani's replacement will face the same Supreme Court issue that sank him, so "the whole sorry business will start all over again."