Can fracking cause earthquakes?
A sharp increase in Oklahoma's seismic activity has many wondering if underground drilling is responsible
On Nov. 5, a 5.6-magnitude tremor rattled Oklahoma — one of the strongest to ever hit the state. Oklahoma is typically seismically stable with about 50 small quakes a year. But in 2009, that number jumped up to more than 1,000. Some people say the increasingly common use of hydraulic fracturing, or fracking — the controversial practice of blasting underground rock formations with high-pressure water, sand, and chemicals to extract natural gas — may have put stress on fault lines. Can human activity really cause the earth to move? Here, a brief guide:
So humans can cause earthquakes?It has happened before. One "textbook case" occurred in 1967 in India, says Peter Fairley at IEEE Spectrum, when the reservoir behind the hydroelectric Koyna Dam was filled up. The added water "unleashed a magnitude 6.3 quake" by placing stress "on a previously unknown fault, killing 180 people and leaving thousands homeless."
Why do people think fracking is to blame in this case?While it's not hard to imagine that injecting liquids underground at high pressure might somehow be related to seismic activity, there is actually "some evidence that fracking may induce minor tremors," says Bryan Walsh at TIME. In January, a flurry of about 50 "very small" quakes with magnitudes between 1.0 and 2.8 may have been the direct result of fracking, he says, citing a report from the Oklahoma State Geological Survey.
But wasn't the Oklahoma quake much stronger?It was. A few experts say that the process of fracking for gas might not "pack nearly the punch of even a moderate earthquake," says Jonathan Fahey at the Associated Press. "The magnitude-5.6 quake that rocked Oklahoma had the power of 3,8000 tons of TNT," enough to damage buildings. The typical quake caused by fracking, in contrast, would merely cause dishes to rattle on the kitchen counter.
So it wasn't the cause, then?The biggest Oklahoma quake was so strong it was almost certainly natural. But fracking isn't completely "off the hook," says Walsh. Even though "a typical gas frack is tiny compared with the power of even a minor quake," there's evidence suggesting that in areas like Arkansas and Texas — "where far greater amounts of drilling wastewater" are used to search for underground oil reserves — fracking "may put more stress on faults," making potential earthquakes even stronger. So now scientists are busy trying to figure just how big a quake human activity can cause.