Japan's 'massive' wave of tsunami debris

Millions of tons of wreckage from the March disaster is floating, slowly but surely, toward the U.S. When and where will it hit?

Debris floats off the coast of Japan soon after the March earthquake and tsunami: A wave of garbage the size of Texas is slowly making its way to the U.S.
(Image credit: Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Alexander Tidd/US)

Japan has made great progress cleaning up after the 9.0-magnitude earthquake and deadly tsunami it endured seven months ago. But some of the aftershocks haven't yet been felt. Millions of tons of wreckage from the tsunami have been slowly drifting across the Pacific Ocean since the March disaster. Where is it headed, and when will it hit? What you need to know:

How much debris are we talking about?

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Where is it headed?

It's expected to hit the Midway Atoll, an island halfway between Japan and Hawaii, around January. According to a computer model developed at the International Pacific Research Center in Hawaii, the "massive" expanse of flotsam will reach Hawaii in early 2013. By 2014, it will wash up on the west coast of North America, mostly in Oregon, Washington, Canada, and Alaska.

Will the slow-moving debris wave wreak havoc on U.S. shores?

Nobody can say for sure. It's not moving in a solid mass, but more like "confetti soup," says University of Hawaii computer researcher Jan Hafner. Some of the wreckage, which was sucked out to sea when the tsunami receded, has already sunk, and more could go to the bottom before the debris reaches the U.S. But much of what's floating, including chunks of wood and plastic, is bound to reach shore. "We don't want to create a panic," Hafner said, "but it's good to know it's coming."

Sources: ABC News, Associated Press, GlobalPost, LA Times, TIME