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The Pacific Northwest’s coming quake

The Pacific Northwest is due for a massive earthquake like those that recently devastated Chile and Haiti, says The Seattle Times. Oregon State University geologists recently concluded that in the next 50 years the region has a 1-in-3 chance of experiencing a major, destructive quake with a magnitude of 8 or even 9—about as large as quakes come. “It’s not a question of if a major earthquake will strike,” says study author Chris Goldfinger, who has conducted a new analysis of the region’s faults. “It is a matter of when. And the ‘when’ is looking like it might not be that far in the future.” The region is quake-prone because it sits atop a subduction zone, where the Pacific plate slips unevenly beneath the North American plate. Goldfinger found four separate segments in the zone, each building up pressure as the plates grind against each other. That raises the risk of a “megaquake” that could rip up highways, topple buildings, and trigger a tsunami. The last major quake to hit the region struck in 1700 and caused a 30-foot tsunami that rolled across the entire Pacific Ocean and smashed into Japan.

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