What the experts say

Betting on industrial renewal; Gold: Don’t get dinged; Hedging home prices

Betting on industrial renewal

It’s still “no sure thing,” but American manufacturing could be turning the corner, said Ben Steverman in BusinessWeek. Investors seem to think so. Over the past three months, industrial stocks have outpaced the broader market by about six points. True, several earnings reports recently released by big industrial concerns were mixed; United Technologies Corp. posted better-than expected earnings while General Electric disappointed. But “there are a few reasons to be optimistic” going forward. For one thing, “manufacturing is jumping off a very low base.” Freight traffic—a good indicator of industrial activity—is up nearly 38 percent since March. Such growth should continue as companies “eventually” replace their inventories. Meanwhile, growth in demand, combined with a weak dollar, bode well for Caterpillar and other companies that “sell lots of products overseas.”

Gold: Don’t get dinged

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Hedging home prices

Homeowners who worry about declining home values can now buy themselves some peace of mind, said Bob Tedeschi in The New York Times. A new product called ­Equity Protection, from San Francisco’s Working Equity Inc., claims to be for the housing market what put options are for the stock market. Owners pay a one-time fee of 1 percent to 2.5 percent of their home’s current market value, and are then “essentially guaranteed that when they sell their home, they will not lose money because of a market downturn.” If you don’t expect to sell in the next few years, such a contract could protect you from an unpredictable market. “There’s a very strong scenario that says home prices will decline another 10 or 15 percent,” says Craig Focardi, an analyst with the Tower Group. In that case, paying now would save quite a bit later.