Where Democrats are losing voters, per Tuesday's results


According to an analysis of the situation by NBC News' Meet the Press, the most troubling takeaway from Democrats' less-than-ideal showing in Tuesday's off-year elections wasn't that perhaps former President Donald Trump is no longer as effective a foil as he was in 2020, or that the left lost independent voters in Virginia.
Rather, the more alarming bottom line is that the party is losing "losing white voters, rural voters and voters without college degrees by such large margins that it makes winning elections hard," even in "diverse and highly-educated states" such as Virginia and New Jersey, argues NBC News.
In Virginia's gubernatorial race, for example, exit polls showed white men — who comprised 36 percent of the electorate — went for Republican Glenn Youngkin over Democrat Terry McAuliffe 66 percent to 34 percent, a 2-to-1 margin. With white women, who made up 38 percent of Virginia voters, 57 percent to 43 percent cast their ballot for Youngkin.
The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
And for the 36 percent of non-college educated white voters, 76 percent chose Youngkin, compared to the 24 percent who preferred McAuliffe, per NBC News. A similar trend can be seen in Republican Jack Ciattarelli's performance in New Jersey.
It is worth nothing, however, that there were somewhat similar numbers in Virginia's 2017's gubernatorial contest, won by Democrat Ralph Northam.
Still, writes NBC, "if you are losing 36 percent of all voters by a 76 percent-to-24 percent margin, it means you have to win 65 percent of all other voters to get to 50 percent-plus one." For the candidate winning these voters by that same margin, "it means you need to win just 35 percent of all other voters."
And that, Meet the Press argues, is the consequence of failing to appeal to those blocs.
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Brigid Kennedy worked at The Week from 2021 to 2023 as a staff writer, junior editor and then story editor, with an interest in U.S. politics, the economy and the music industry.
-
DOJ indicts John Bolton over classified files
Speed Read Continuing the trend of going after his political enemies, Trump prosecutes his former national security adviser
-
Trump, Putin set summit as Zelenskyy lands in DC
Speed Read Trump and Putin have agreed to meet in Budapest soon to discuss ending the war in Ukraine
-
Courts deal setbacks to Trump’s Chicago operations
Speed Read President Donald Trump cannot deploy the National Guard in Illinois
-
Pentagon reporters turn in badges after refusing rules
Speed Read They refused to sign a restrictive new press policy imposed by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
-
Supreme Court points to gutting Voting Rights Act
speed read States would no longer be required to consider race when drawing congressional maps
-
Trump says he authorized covert CIA ops in Venezuela
Speed Read He is also considering military strikes inside the country
-
‘Vile, racist’ leaked chats roil Young Republicans
Speed Read Leaders of Young Republican groups made racist, antisemitic and violent comments in private chats
-
Trump ties $20B Argentina bailout to Milei votes
speed read Trump will boost Argentina’s economy — if the country’s right-wing president wins upcoming elections