Where Democrats are losing voters, per Tuesday's results

McAuliffe and Youngkin signs.
(Image credit: ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images)

According to an analysis of the situation by NBC News' Meet the Press, the most troubling takeaway from Democrats' less-than-ideal showing in Tuesday's off-year elections wasn't that perhaps former President Donald Trump is no longer as effective a foil as he was in 2020, or that the left lost independent voters in Virginia.

Rather, the more alarming bottom line is that the party is losing "losing white voters, rural voters and voters without college degrees by such large margins that it makes winning elections hard," even in "diverse and highly-educated states" such as Virginia and New Jersey, argues NBC News.

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And for the 36 percent of non-college educated white voters, 76 percent chose Youngkin, compared to the 24 percent who preferred McAuliffe, per NBC News. A similar trend can be seen in Republican Jack Ciattarelli's performance in New Jersey.

It is worth nothing, however, that there were somewhat similar numbers in Virginia's 2017's gubernatorial contest, won by Democrat Ralph Northam.

Still, writes NBC, "if you are losing 36 percent of all voters by a 76 percent-to-24 percent margin, it means you have to win 65 percent of all other voters to get to 50 percent-plus one." For the candidate winning these voters by that same margin, "it means you need to win just 35 percent of all other voters."

And that, Meet the Press argues, is the consequence of failing to appeal to those blocs.

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Brigid Kennedy

Brigid Kennedy worked at The Week from 2021 to 2023 as a staff writer, junior editor and then story editor, with an interest in U.S. politics, the economy and the music industry.