The Trump administration has withdrawn all 12 of its B-1 bombers from RAF Fairford amid fears that last month’s suspected attack attempt on the Gloucestershire airbase was orchestrated by Tehran. The base had been acting as a forward operating location for US aircraft targeting sites in Iran.
The scramble to withdraw the B-1s “tells us much about Iran, Britain and the emerging threats to US forces and assets”, said The Wall Street Journal in an editorial. “None of it is good.”
What did the commentators say? The alleged Fairford plot is far from an isolated event. On Tuesday, three Iranian men appeared in court accused of spying on British-based dissident journalists. In July, a Tehran-backed cyberattack halted operations at a UK power plant for four days. And earlier this year, a wave of arson attacks targeting British Jews were linked to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
Tehran warned in July that “any base used for aggression against Iranian territory constitutes a legitimate target for our forces”. As far as the IRGC “is concerned”, said BBC security correspondent Frank Gardner, “Britain is already a participant in America’s war with Iran”.
Modern warfare has been changed by the emergence of sophisticated state-run drone attacks, such as Ukraine’s Operation Spider’s Web last year, when low-cost drones smuggled into Russia were used to strike strategic targets, said The Times’ defence editor Larisa Brown. But they require “months of planning, utmost secrecy and the purchase or smuggling of large quantities of explosives”. One senior US diplomat expressed scepticism that Iran was capable of pulling off such an attack, according to Brown. “Yet there was enough concern for America to act.”
What next? The Strategic Defence Review published by the UK government last year earmarked up to £1 billion for homeland air and missile defence over the next four years. But the “bigger problem has been finding the will to confront the Iranians and go on offence against their terror networks”, said The Wall Street Journal. The Iranian regime “clearly doesn’t think it will pay much of a price for orchestrating terror in Britain”, and “until that changes, even the best defence technology can only do so much”.
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