A brokered convention is more likely than Elizabeth Warren winning the nomination, FiveThirtyEight forecasts

Elizabeth Warren.
(Image credit: Kena Betancur/Getty Images)

The Democratic nominee is starting to take shape in FiveThirtyEight's 2020 vision.

The data-driven news site gives former Vice President Joe Biden the best chance of locking down the 2020 Democratic nomination in its primary forecast that debuted Thursday. But things get more complicated beyond the top two candidates, with FiveThirtyEight predicting the Democratic National Committee could arrive at its convention without a nominee.

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Kathryn Krawczyk

Kathryn is a graduate of Syracuse University, with degrees in magazine journalism and information technology, along with hours to earn another degree after working at SU's independent paper The Daily Orange. She's currently recovering from a horse addiction while living in New York City, and likes to share her extremely dry sense of humor on Twitter.