Foreign Secretary David Lammy has said the ousting of Bashar al-Assad is a "humiliation" not just for the deposed Syrian president but also for the Russian and Iranian regimes who supported him.
Whether the UK government will remove the rebel group that toppled Syria's old regime, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), from a list of banned terrorist groups is yet to be decided. But Britain is not alone in scrambling to adjust to the new post-Assad era.
Russia The fall of Assad is undoubtedly a significant "blow to Russia's prestige", said the BBC's Russia editor Steve Rosenberg, and it also jeopardises Moscow's hold on its air base and naval base in Syria. Losing them would "damage Moscow's ability to manoeuvre in Africa and the Mediterranean", which in turn could "have a strategic impact on Russian influence across the world", said R. Clarke Cooper, senior fellow at the Atlantic Council.
Iran Tehran has been quick to open up a "direct line of communication" with rebels in Syria, the "lynchpin of its regional clout", said Reuters. The Sunni Islamist HTS may not seem a "natural partner" for the Shi'ite Iranian regime, said Haaretz, but geopolitical interests, especially in the Middle East, are a "dynamic, flexible concept that depends on utility and necessity".
Israel Now that Assad is gone, "Israel's main concern, aside from the regime's strategic weapons falling into hostile hands, is chaos in Syria that would allow organisations affiliated with Iran to launch rockets and drones", said The Economist.
Israel has already launched hundreds of air strikes on locations throughout Syria, targeting warehouses that Israeli defence officials said housed chemical weapons, long-range missiles and anti-aircraft systems.
Turkey While Russia and Iran have seen their influence diminished by the events of the past week, Turkey is the "main winner", said Seyed Hossein Mousavian, from Princeton University, in Middle East Eye.
As well as being a heavy backer of HTS, Ankara may hope that Assad's removal paves the way to "resolve the Syrian refugee crisis in Turkey, exert more effective control over the Kurds and strengthen its role in the Palestinian issue, as well as cement alliances with like-minded groups in the region". |