Recent polling depicts a public convinced that crime is soaring – and apparently all too ready to believe Nigel Farage's narrative of a lawless and broken Britain.
But the Reform UK leader's "populist" campaign on social media is "truth adjacent", said Fraser Nelson in The Times, and "a distorting lens" through which voters "no longer see the country they actually live in".
What did the commentators say? "Our society, for all its faults, is probably safer, richer and better than any before it," said Nelson. According to the Crime Survey of England and Wales, over the past 20 years, violent crime has halved, robbery is down by 60%, burglary by two-thirds, and bike theft and car theft has fallen by 50%. Yet because some particularly visible crimes, such as shoplifting and snatch theft, are "genuinely surging", people's perceptions are unbalanced.
It's these visible crimes that "make people feel threatened by disorder", said John Rentoul in The Independent. Farage has become "more active" in highlighting them, in his role as "head of a social media movement" and also at GB News, a TV channel "dedicated to portraying the country as a hellhole".
"Well, if Britain is broken," said Janan Ganesh in the Financial Times, "I merely ask, 'Compared to what?'" Nostalgia for some better yesteryear is "hard to argue against" but the falling crime figures "would have to be extravagantly wrong" for the "preachers of social collapse" to be "even remotely right".
But beyond crime, critics point out that the government is breaking records for illegal arrivals and that poverty rates are increasing. Even former Labour leader Gordon Brown has said the UK has returned to "the kind of poverty of 60 years ago".
What next? Even if Britain isn't broken, people believe it is, which is a big problem for Keir Starmer, said The Independent's Rentoul. The prime minister should take "visible and forceful action on the things that people care about": "shoplifting, phone snatching and graffiti" and, "above all", asylum hotels and stopping the boats. Starmer has already "tried to do all these things" but only "limply". |