France has joined the UK, Canada, Australia and Portugal in formally recognising a Palestinian state, leaving the increasingly isolated Israel more dependent on US support.
“America is all that stands between Israel and a pariah status that would have dire implications for its diplomatic, legal and military security,” said The Economist. But there are “cracks deep within the foundations of the alliance”.
What did the commentators say? Despite Benjamin Netanyahu’s “blithe assurances” that relations with America are strong, “they are not”, said The Economist. Israel’s prime minister has “riled the Trump administration” and is losing the support of US voters across the board. Americans “rightly shudder” at the sight of starving children in Gaza, and Israel’s unilateral moves – such as missile strikes on Qatar – have frustrated the US president. For such a small country in a “dangerous and hostile neighbourhood”, the loss of US backing would be “a catastrophe”.
Militarily, America’s support for Israel is underpinned by a decade-long agreement; the current deal, worth $3.8 billion a year to Israel, runs until 2028. US military aid to Israel has at least tripled since the 7 October attacks and Washington directly provided a third of Israel’s defence budget in 2024, according to the Congressional Research Service. But there are fears that Donald Trump will offer a less generous deal next time.
Politically, American support has been “the gift that keeps on giving” to the Israeli right, Daniel Levy, a former Israeli government adviser, told Al Jazeera. Without US support, the right would lack “legitimacy”. Washington has also frequently used its veto on the UN Security Council to block critical motions against Israel, including demands for a ceasefire in Gaza. And the US has supported Israel in the International Court of Justice and International Criminal Court, making it a vital ally for Israel on the world stage.
What next? With more countries set to formally recognise a Palestinian state, some Israeli ministers are pushing for the annexation of parts of the occupied West Bank. This controversial move, encroaching further into Palestinian territory, would “antagonise” the Arab world and potentially the US, said The Wall Street Journal. It would undermine the Abraham Accords, which established diplomatic relations between Israel and several Arab countries, and “dent Trump’s hopes of establishing his legacy as a peacemaker”. |