El Niños arrive every few years, inflicting climate destruction across the globe. And scientists predict the “biggest El Niño event since the 1870s” in the coming months, said Paul Roundy, of the State University of New York at Albany, per The Washington Post. Rising temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters could “shift patterns of droughts, floods, heat, humidity and sea ice across the planet,” said the outlet, as well as create a “higher frequency of heat waves” across much of the U.S.
What did the commentators say? Although they are natural phenomena, El Niños could prove combustible when combined with global warming. The coming El Niño might “lock Earth into a hotter climate” with “lasting changes in heat, rainfall and drought patterns,” said Inside Climate News. And researchers believe the newest cycle could “permanently push” the planet past the 1.5-degree-Celsius warming milestone long seen as the threshold for “irreversible climate impacts” likely to affect food production, human health and the global economy.
The world is about to learn “how much climate disruption we can manage,” said David Wallace-Wells at The New York Times. The biggest recorded El Niño in 1877 produced famine that killed millions of people in Egypt, India and China, often followed by epidemics of “malaria, plague, dysentery, smallpox and cholera.” The next El Niño may not “produce nearly as much human suffering,” but it’s “almost certain” to make 2027 the “hottest year on record.”
What next? “A lot has changed” since the 1877 El Niño, said The Washington Post. Advances in climate monitoring make the world “more prepared to deal with the consequences” of massive weather shifts.
It will still be a challenge. “Hotter, drier weather across Asia” could damage crops while farmers on the continent “grapple with fertilizer shortages” caused by the Iran war, said Reuters. El Niño could also “dump more rain on Europe and the United States,” affecting U.S. corn and soybean harvests.
The uncertainty may prompt farmers to hedge their planting plans. “Why spread expensive fertilizer on a crop that’s going to be poor anyway?” said Vitor Pistoia at Australia’s Rabobank to Reuters.
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