What happened President Donald Trump yesterday evening said he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran, subject to a “COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz.” The announcement defused his threat yesterday morning that “a whole civilization will die tonight” absent a deal
Iran said it would abide by the ceasefire, proposed by Pakistan, but maintain control of the Strait of Hormuz. Israel also agreed to stop attacking Iran, but Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said this morning the “ceasefire does not include Lebanon,” contradicting an earlier statement from Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.
Who said what Iranian state TV said Trump had accepted Iran’s terms in a “humiliating retreat.” Trump told APF last night that the ceasefire was “100%” a “total and complete victory” for the U.S. Trump’s “apocalyptic threat” of civilizational erasure “certainly helped him find an offramp he had been seeking for weeks,” David Sanger said in The New York Times. But his “down-to-the-wire tactical victory” resolved “none of the fundamental issues that led to the war.”
The ceasefire’s terms were “clouded in uncertainty” as Iran “released different versions of the 10-point plan intended to be the basis for negotiations,” The Associated Press said. Trump said on social media that Iran’s plan was “a workable basis on which to negotiate,” but “he later called it fraudulent, without elaborating.” Among the plan’s elements, AP said, citing regional officials, “both Iran and Oman to charge fees on ships transiting through the Strait of Hormuz.” Before the war, passage through the strait was free, but “Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2 million per vessel,” CNN said.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said “safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible via coordination with Iran’s Armed Forces and with due consideration of technical limitations.” That means Iran will have the ”power to speed up passage, or slow it down,“ The Wall Street Journal said, and likely formalizes its “Tehran Tollbooth” regime, charging ships $1 million or more to pass through the strait. Passage was free before the war. Trump said on social media this morning that the U.S. will be “helping with the traffic buildup” in the strait, and “there will be lots of positive action! Big money will be made” and “Iran can start the reconstruction process.”
What next? The “ceasefire appeared shaky in its early hours,” Politico said, with Iran firing missiles at Gulf Arab countries and Israel continuing to strike Iran. The U.S. and Iran “are expected to hold peace talks on Friday in Islamabad,” Axios said.
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