What the alleged Federal Reserve bomb plot says about the terror war: 4 theories

Authorities bust a man they say tried to detonate a van filled with fake explosives. Do these increasingly common stings amount to a victory against al Qaeda?

Quazi Mohammad Rezwanul Ahsan Nafis
(Image credit: AP Photo)

The FBI has arrested a 21-year-old Bangladeshi national, Quazi Mohammad Rezwanul Ahsan Nafis, for trying to remotely detonate a bomb outside the Federal Reserve in New York City. It turned out that the 1,000 pounds of "explosives" he'd allegedly packed into a van parked outside the building were fake, and that the person who'd supplied them was actually an FBI agent. Prosecutors say the suspect is an al Qaeda sympathizer who came to the U.S. in January on a student visa, hoping to "destroy America." While trying to recruit people from a terrorist cell, he apparently wound up contacting an FBI informer who introduced him to the undercover FBI agent"explosives" supplier. Law enforcement agents say Nafis considered several attack plans, including an attempt on President Obama's life, before settling on the Fed as his target. What does the foiling of an alleged wannabe bomber say about the U.S. war against terrorists? Here, four theories:

1. The feds are winning, at least for now

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