Has the Brexit Party peaked too soon?
Farage’s political group drops to fourth place in polls following Tory assurances over Britain’s departure from EU

The Brexit Party’s popularity is plummeting following a surge in the run-up to the European elections, latest polling suggests.
According to a BMG Research survey for The Independent, Nigel Farage’s one-issue Brexit Party has dropped to fourth place on just 14%, behind the Conservatives (28%), Labour (27%) and the Lib Dems (18%).
The Tories and Lib Dems have made gains of two points and one point respectively since last month, while Labour remains unchanged, but the Brexit Party has lost four points - “suggesting that the effect of coming top in the European elections in May is wearing off”, the newspaper says.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
The Daily Express claims the new figures indicate that a number of people who backed the Brexit Party in the vote have returned to the Conservatives, “heartened by the prospect of a Boris Johnson government delivering a ‘do or die’ Brexit with or without a deal on 31 October”.
That link is also indicated by a separate poll for The Daily Telegraph. Of 511 Tory party members quizzed for the survey, just 56% said they would still vote for the Conservatives if the next prime minister fails to deliver Brexit by the October deadline, with 35% claiming they would switch their support to the Brexit Party.
“If, however, the UK left on or by the deadline, Conservative members would flock back, with 92% backing the Tories,” the paper adds. Meanwhile, Brexit Party support among Conservative Party members would fall to just 5%.
A source from Tory leadership front-runner Boris Johnson’s campaign told the Telegraph: “It’s clear that the only way to take on and defeat Jeremy Corbyn is to prick the twin puffballs of the Brexit Party and the Lib Dems who have been feasting on the Conservative vote due to our inability to deliver Brexit.”
But while many commentators believe that would spell disaster for the Brexit Party, in particular, not everyone is convinced. Politico’s Tom McTague argues that the party has “ambitions far beyond being simply a vehicle for Brexiteer protest votes”, with Farage planning to field candidates at every level while developing a full policy platform.
All the same, says UnHerd’s Peter Franklin, in order to stay relevant the Brexit Party needs to “overcome its most dangerous enemy – i.e. itself”.
“Even if it doesn’t succumb to the infighting that held UKIP back, it still has the problem that all protest parties have – the perception that they’re not fit for government,” he says.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
An ingredient in Coca-Cola may be funding Sudan's war
Under the Radar Global trade in gum arabic centres on the African nation – and proceeds bankroll conflict between the army and paramilitary rebels
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Homes for multi-generational families
Feature Featuring a 1900 Jacobean-style mansion in Massachusetts and a 22.5-acre compound in California
By The Week US Published
-
The Week contest: Foot PSA
Puzzles and Quizzes
By The Week US Published
-
Has Starmer put Britain back on the world stage?
Talking Point UK takes leading role in Europe on Ukraine and Starmer praised as credible 'bridge' with the US under Trump
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Left on read: Labour's WhatsApp dilemma
Talking Point Andrew Gwynne has been sacked as health minister over messages posted in a Labour WhatsApp group
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
How should Westminster handle Elon Musk?
Today's Big Question Musk's about-face on Nigel Farage demonstrates that he is a 'precarious' ally, but his influence on the Trump White House makes fending off his attacks a delicate business
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
New Year's Honours: why the controversy?
Today's Big Question London Mayor Sadiq Khan and England men's football manager Gareth Southgate have both received a knighthood despite debatable records
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Is there a Christmas curse on Downing Street?
Today's Big Question Keir Starmer could follow a long line of prime ministers forced to swap festive cheer for the dreaded Christmas crisis
By The Week UK Published
-
Is Elon Musk about to disrupt British politics?
Today's big question Mar-a-Lago talks between billionaire and Nigel Farage prompt calls for change on how political parties are funded
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
Will Starmer's Brexit reset work?
Today's Big Question PM will have to tread a fine line to keep Leavers on side as leaks suggest EU's 'tough red lines' in trade talks next year
By The Week UK Published
-
John Prescott: was he Labour's last link to the working class?
Today's Big Quesiton 'A total one-off': tributes have poured in for the former deputy PM and trade unionist
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published