What the experts say

Birthday for a bull; Diversification isn’t dead; The new gold standard

Birthday for a bull

Last week marked the first birthday of the bull market in stocks, and if history is any indication, this bull will be around for its second, said Adam Shell in USA Today. “You have to go back to 1947 to find a bull rally that didn’t last at least 24 months.” While investors “shouldn’t expect the same kind of shoot-the-lights-out–type returns” they saw this past year, optimists say there are several reasons to expect at least another year of gains. “Two of the biggest rally-killers”—interest-rate hikes and inflation spikes—are not an imminent threat. Meanwhile, investors still have an estimated $7 trillion in cash sitting on the sidelines. Of course, that itself is a sign that investors are still skittish, says Michael Farr, of money management firm Farr, Miller & Washington. “Yell ‘Boo!’ and they may all run for the door at once.”

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