What the experts say

One market, three threats; Tech stocks grow up; Can Facebook affect credit?

One market, three threats

“After one of the most volatile periods for stocks in decades,” it would be nice to think investors could sit back and relax in 2010, said Paul Lim in The New York Times. But there’s no such thing as a market without risks. Right now most strategists worry about three things: disappointing earnings, frothy valuations, and government policy. The still-worrisome employment situation suggests current stock prices are overly optimistic. Many valuations—as measured by the 10-year average price-to-earnings ratio—are significantly higher than their historical averages. Finally, the Fed may very well raise short-term interest rates this year, which could knock the wind out of the market. Given all the uncertainties, says Duncan Richardson, chief equity investment officer at Eaton Vance in Boston, “investors need to be more diversified than ever.”

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