Reading the federal deficit

What the new White House projections of a $9 trillion, 10-year fiscal deficit mean for our economic health

“We’ve never fretted over budget deficits,” said The Wall Street Journal in an editorial, at least not if they finance tax cuts or “spending to win a war,” but the $9 trillion, 10-year federal deficit forecast by the White House budget office is different. Not only is it driven by domestic spending, it’s also based on “laughably implausible” assumptions, like that Congress will hold spending to the rate of inflation. As things are going now, $9 trillion “may be optimistic.”

“Can we please relax?” said Robert Reich in Salon. Ten-year budget projections are “notoriously irrelevant” and wildly inaccurate. Besides, out of context, “deficits and debts mean just about nothing.” In 1945, federal debt was 120 percent of GDP, but economic growth “tamed” that ratio in a few short years. The only number “worth looking at” is the deficit projection for next year—$1.6 trillion—which, given our bad jobless numbers, seems “alarmingly small.”

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