Employment: A jobs report filled with mixed signals

Construction and home health aide jobs are on the rise

A woman talks to a recruiter at a Seattle job fair
The White House wants Americans to believe 'that near-zero job growth is fine'
(Image credit: David Ryder / Bloomberg / Getty Images)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released a “Schrödinger’s cat of employment snapshots” last week, said Alicia Wallace in CNN.com. It reported that the U.S. added 130,000 jobs in January, far more than economists forecast, suggesting a stabilizing employment market after months of deteriorating numbers. But the bureau also revised down its jobs numbers for last year to show 2025 to be “one of the worst years ever for job creation outside of a recession.” The annual recalibration meant that “a million U.S. jobs disappeared overnight,” said Larry Edelman in The Boston Globe. “Poof!” In fact, those roles didn’t vanish—they “never existed in the first place.” The revisions don’t mean the department is incompetent or “plays politics with the numbers to make a president look good or bad.” They just reflect updates as more data emerges. The main takeaway is that last year, “the economy added an average of 15,000 jobs a month, even fewer than the paltry 49,000 average previously estimated.”

The January report had one bright spot, said Vince Golle in Bloomberg. Factory jobs increased for the first time since late 2024, a sign that “American manufacturing may be starting to emerge from years of malaise.” Combine those gains “with a solid advance in the construction industry”—powered in part by data center build-outs—and we see a gain of 36,000 jobs “among goods producers, the most since mid-2023.” Still, the “lion’s share” of job growth came “from one specific task: caring for older Americans,” said Allie Canal in NBCNews.com. About 124,000 of last month’s 130,000 new jobs were in the health-care sector. We’re not talking about a boom in highly skilled and well-paid surgeons, but rather more home health and personal care aides. “Demand for long-term care is projected to keep rising” as the U.S. population ages. Most of the direct care workforce performs physically demanding work for a median wage of $16.82 an hour, barely enough to exceed the $32,150 federal poverty level for a family of four. And as immigration restrictions tighten, “the strain on this workforce is building at the very moment the country needs it most.”

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