Health & Science

How high will the seas rise?; Where did whales come from?; The effect of nurture on IQ; A vaccine for cocaine addicts

How high will the seas rise?

Climatologists last year estimated that sea levels will rise about 2 feet over the next century as a result of global warming—a prediction they conceded was merely a best guess. But a group of scientists has discovered that the last time the Earth warmed as much as computer models predict it will by 2100, sea levels rose by 20 feet. By examining ancient sea sediments, the scientists were able to reconstruct conditions between the last two ice ages, 124,000 years ago. During this period, temperatures rose by about 4 degrees Fahrenheit, and ice in the arctic regions melted rapidly, adding vast quantities of water to the oceans. Today, a sea-level rise of that magnitude would be catastrophic; even an increase of a few feet would flood coastal cities and recreation areas, and require massive new efforts to hold back the sea. Climatologist William Thompson of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts, who did not participate in the new study, tells Science that while it remains unclear how much seas will rise in coming decades, the findings indicate that last year’s estimate was probably “too conservative.”

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