The daily business briefing: September 26, 2022

The British pound fell more than 4 percent on Monday to a record low of $1.035 against the U.S. dollar. The plunge in early trading in Asia came after a 2.6 percent fall on Friday as British Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng announced that the United Kingdom would increase spending while imposing the biggest tax cuts in 50 years. Former Tory chancellor Lord Ken Clarke warned Sunday the tax cuts could trigger a collapse of the currency. The previous record low for the pound was $1.054 in 1985. The euro also hit a 20-year low of 0.965 per dollar. Weak economic data and concerns about Russia's war in Ukraine have boosted the dollar, a safe haven in uncertain times. 

Russia's invasion of Ukraine will have reduced global economic output by $2.8 trillion by the end of 2023, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Monday. The cost will be even higher if Europe is hit by a severe winter and governments in the region are forced to ration energy as Russia squeezes supplies of natural gas, the Paris-based club of advanced economies said. The invasion, which Russia launched in late February, has driven up energy prices, leaving households with less to spend on everything else. It also has chipped away at the confidence of businesses and investors, rattling markets. The OECD forecasts the global economy will grow 3 percent this year, down from pre-war predictions of 4.5 percent.

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said Sunday there is "a really good chance" that the central bank can bring high inflation under control with fewer job losses than in previous slowdowns. "There is some ability for the economy to absorb our actions and slow in a relatively orderly way," Bostic said on CBS's Face the Nation. Fed officials are aggressively raising interest rates to bring down borrowing and spending. Fed officials believe that even as the economy slows, businesses that have had trouble finding enough workers during the coronavirus pandemic will try hard to avoid layoffs. "We need to have a slowdown," Bostic said. "We are going to do all that we can at the Federal Reserve to avoid deep, deep pain."

U.S. stock futures dipped early Monday as the British pound plunged against the dollar and after concerns about rising interest rates and high inflation dragged the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its lowest point of the year on Friday. Futures for the Dow and the S&P 500 were down 0.6 percent at 7 a.m. ET. Nasdaq futures were down 0.5 percent. The Dow and the S&P 500 fell 1.6 percent and 1.7 percent on Friday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 1.8 percent. Last week's losses were fueled by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments after the central bank's policy meeting. Powell said the Fed would continue aggressively raising rates, going as high as 4.6 percent next year before pulling back.

Apple said on Monday it had started assembling its latest flagship smartphone, the iPhone 14, in India as it shifts some production away from China. The locally produced smartphones will be sold in India later this year. The tech giant unveiled the iPhone 14 earlier this month. "The new iPhone 14 lineup introduces groundbreaking new technologies and important safety capabilities. We're excited to be manufacturing iPhone 14 in India," Apple said in a statement. Apple started manufacturing older generation iPhones in India five years ago. J.P.Morgan analysts said they expected Apple to be producing about 5 percent of the latest iPhone handsets in India by the end of the year, and up to a quarter of them by 2025.